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Rachana Infrastructure Limited's (NSE:RILINFRA) 25% Dip In Price Shows Sentiment Is Matching Earnings
Unfortunately for some shareholders, the Rachana Infrastructure Limited (NSE:RILINFRA) share price has dived 25% in the last thirty days, prolonging recent pain. For any long-term shareholders, the last month ends a year to forget by locking in a 54% share price decline.
After such a large drop in price, Rachana Infrastructure's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 23.5x might make it look like a buy right now compared to the market in India, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 33x and even P/E's above 62x are quite common. However, the P/E might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
With earnings growth that's exceedingly strong of late, Rachana Infrastructure has been doing very well. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think this strong earnings growth might actually underperform the broader market in the near future. If that doesn't eventuate, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
Check out our latest analysis for Rachana Infrastructure
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Rachana Infrastructure's earnings, revenue and cash flow.How Is Rachana Infrastructure's Growth Trending?
Rachana Infrastructure's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver limited growth, and importantly, perform worse than the market.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 60% last year. However, this wasn't enough as the latest three year period has seen a very unpleasant 35% drop in EPS in aggregate. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing earnings over that time.
Weighing that medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 26% shows it's an unpleasant look.
With this information, we are not surprised that Rachana Infrastructure is trading at a P/E lower than the market. Nonetheless, there's no guarantee the P/E has reached a floor yet with earnings going in reverse. Even just maintaining these prices could be difficult to achieve as recent earnings trends are already weighing down the shares.
The Key Takeaway
Rachana Infrastructure's P/E has taken a tumble along with its share price. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
As we suspected, our examination of Rachana Infrastructure revealed its shrinking earnings over the medium-term are contributing to its low P/E, given the market is set to grow. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.
Before you take the next step, you should know about the 1 warning sign for Rachana Infrastructure that we have uncovered.
If P/E ratios interest you, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NSEI:RILINFRA
Rachana Infrastructure
Engages in the construction of road projects on the bill of quantities and engineering, procurement, and construction basis in India.
Adequate balance sheet with acceptable track record.