Murudeshwar Ceramics Ltd. (NSE:MURUDCERA) Investors Are Less Pessimistic Than Expected
With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 40.5x Murudeshwar Ceramics Ltd. (NSE:MURUDCERA) may be sending bearish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all companies in India have P/E ratios under 30x and even P/E's lower than 17x are not unusual. However, the P/E might be high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
Recent times have been quite advantageous for Murudeshwar Ceramics as its earnings have been rising very briskly. It seems that many are expecting the strong earnings performance to beat most other companies over the coming period, which has increased investors’ willingness to pay up for the stock. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
Check out our latest analysis for Murudeshwar Ceramics
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Murudeshwar Ceramics' earnings, revenue and cash flow.Is There Enough Growth For Murudeshwar Ceramics?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should outperform the market for P/E ratios like Murudeshwar Ceramics' to be considered reasonable.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 38% last year. Although, its longer-term performance hasn't been as strong with three-year EPS growth being relatively non-existent overall. So it appears to us that the company has had a mixed result in terms of growing earnings over that time.
This is in contrast to the rest of the market, which is expected to grow by 25% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.
With this information, we find it concerning that Murudeshwar Ceramics is trading at a P/E higher than the market. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited recent growth rates and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent earnings trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
The Final Word
While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.
Our examination of Murudeshwar Ceramics revealed its three-year earnings trends aren't impacting its high P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted, given they look worse than current market expectations. When we see weak earnings with slower than market growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the high P/E lower. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.
We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 3 warning signs for Murudeshwar Ceramics that you need to be mindful of.
You might be able to find a better investment than Murudeshwar Ceramics. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NSEI:MURUDCERA
Murudeshwar Ceramics
Manufactures and trades in ceramic and vitrified floor and wall tiles in India, the Americas, Europe, and internationally.
Proven track record with adequate balance sheet.