Stock Analysis

Is Murudeshwar Ceramics (NSE:MURUDCERA) A Risky Investment?

NSEI:MURUDCERA
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Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. As with many other companies Murudeshwar Ceramics Ltd. (NSE:MURUDCERA) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Murudeshwar Ceramics

What Is Murudeshwar Ceramics's Net Debt?

As you can see below, Murudeshwar Ceramics had ₹810.4m of debt at March 2022, down from ₹895.1m a year prior. However, because it has a cash reserve of ₹60.5m, its net debt is less, at about ₹749.9m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NSEI:MURUDCERA Debt to Equity History June 4th 2022

How Strong Is Murudeshwar Ceramics' Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Murudeshwar Ceramics had liabilities of ₹1.04b due within 12 months and liabilities of ₹331.0m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of ₹60.5m and ₹220.9m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by ₹1.09b.

This is a mountain of leverage relative to its market capitalization of ₹1.45b. This suggests shareholders would be heavily diluted if the company needed to shore up its balance sheet in a hurry.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

While Murudeshwar Ceramics's debt to EBITDA ratio (2.7) suggests that it uses some debt, its interest cover is very weak, at 1.3, suggesting high leverage. It seems clear that the cost of borrowing money is negatively impacting returns for shareholders, of late. One redeeming factor for Murudeshwar Ceramics is that it turned last year's EBIT loss into a gain of ₹170m, over the last twelve months. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Murudeshwar Ceramics will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of the earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) is backed by free cash flow. Over the last year, Murudeshwar Ceramics recorded free cash flow worth a fulsome 87% of its EBIT, which is stronger than we'd usually expect. That positions it well to pay down debt if desirable to do so.

Our View

Neither Murudeshwar Ceramics's ability to cover its interest expense with its EBIT nor its level of total liabilities gave us confidence in its ability to take on more debt. But its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow tells a very different story, and suggests some resilience. We think that Murudeshwar Ceramics's debt does make it a bit risky, after considering the aforementioned data points together. That's not necessarily a bad thing, since leverage can boost returns on equity, but it is something to be aware of. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example, we've discovered 3 warning signs for Murudeshwar Ceramics (1 doesn't sit too well with us!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.