Stock Analysis

LGB Forge Limited's (NSE:LGBFORGE) Stock Has Seen Strong Momentum: Does That Call For Deeper Study Of Its Financial Prospects?

NSEI:LGBFORGE
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Most readers would already be aware that LGB Forge's (NSE:LGBFORGE) stock increased significantly by 66% over the past three months. As most would know, fundamentals are what usually guide market price movements over the long-term, so we decided to look at the company's key financial indicators today to determine if they have any role to play in the recent price movement. Specifically, we decided to study LGB Forge's ROE in this article.

Return on equity or ROE is an important factor to be considered by a shareholder because it tells them how effectively their capital is being reinvested. In other words, it is a profitability ratio which measures the rate of return on the capital provided by the company's shareholders.

See our latest analysis for LGB Forge

How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?

Return on equity can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for LGB Forge is:

3.0% = ₹9.5m ÷ ₹315m (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2020).

The 'return' is the yearly profit. Another way to think of that is that for every ₹1 worth of equity, the company was able to earn ₹0.03 in profit.

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

A Side By Side comparison of LGB Forge's Earnings Growth And 3.0% ROE

As you can see, LGB Forge's ROE looks pretty weak. Even when compared to the industry average of 8.9%, the ROE figure is pretty disappointing. However, we we're pleasantly surprised to see that LGB Forge grew its net income at a significant rate of 32% in the last five years. Therefore, there could be other reasons behind this growth. Such as - high earnings retention or an efficient management in place.

As a next step, we compared LGB Forge's net income growth with the industry, and pleasingly, we found that the growth seen by the company is higher than the average industry growth of 7.4%.

past-earnings-growth
NSEI:LGBFORGE Past Earnings Growth February 15th 2021

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. If you're wondering about LGB Forge's's valuation, check out this gauge of its price-to-earnings ratio, as compared to its industry.

Is LGB Forge Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

Summary

Overall, we feel that LGB Forge certainly does have some positive factors to consider. Despite its low rate of return, the fact that the company reinvests a very high portion of its profits into its business, no doubt contributed to its high earnings growth. While we won't completely dismiss the company, what we would do, is try to ascertain how risky the business is to make a more informed decision around the company. Our risks dashboard would have the 3 risks we have identified for LGB Forge.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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