Stock Analysis

Is Inox Wind (NSE:INOXWIND) A Risky Investment?

NSEI:INOXWIND
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Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. As with many other companies Inox Wind Limited (NSE:INOXWIND) makes use of debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

See our latest analysis for Inox Wind

How Much Debt Does Inox Wind Carry?

The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Inox Wind had ₹10.2b in debt in September 2020; about the same as the year before. However, it does have ₹2.02b in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about ₹8.19b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NSEI:INOXWIND Debt to Equity History December 7th 2020

A Look At Inox Wind's Liabilities

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Inox Wind had liabilities of ₹35.9b falling due within a year, and liabilities of ₹2.91b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had ₹2.02b in cash and ₹14.4b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by ₹22.4b.

The deficiency here weighs heavily on the ₹11.5b company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. At the end of the day, Inox Wind would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Inox Wind will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

In the last year Inox Wind had a loss before interest and tax, and actually shrunk its revenue by 35%, to ₹6.3b. That makes us nervous, to say the least.

Caveat Emptor

While Inox Wind's falling revenue is about as heartwarming as a wet blanket, arguably its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss is even less appealing. Its EBIT loss was a whopping ₹3.1b. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above make us nervous about the company. We'd want to see some strong near-term improvements before getting too interested in the stock. For example, we would not want to see a repeat of last year's loss of ₹3.7b. In the meantime, we consider the stock to be risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Like risks, for instance. Every company has them, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for Inox Wind (of which 1 doesn't sit too well with us!) you should know about.

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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