Stock Analysis

Is Ice Make Refrigeration (NSE:ICEMAKE) Using Too Much Debt?

NSEI:ICEMAKE
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The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, Ice Make Refrigeration Limited (NSE:ICEMAKE) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Ice Make Refrigeration

What Is Ice Make Refrigeration's Net Debt?

As you can see below, at the end of March 2024, Ice Make Refrigeration had ₹252.9m of debt, up from ₹29.7m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, because it has a cash reserve of ₹86.3m, its net debt is less, at about ₹166.6m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NSEI:ICEMAKE Debt to Equity History July 27th 2024

How Healthy Is Ice Make Refrigeration's Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Ice Make Refrigeration had liabilities of ₹813.0m due within 12 months and liabilities of ₹260.0m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of ₹86.3m and ₹649.8m worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling ₹336.9m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

Given Ice Make Refrigeration has a market capitalization of ₹13.3b, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse. Carrying virtually no net debt, Ice Make Refrigeration has a very light debt load indeed.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

Ice Make Refrigeration has a low net debt to EBITDA ratio of only 0.40. And its EBIT covers its interest expense a whopping 17.6 times over. So we're pretty relaxed about its super-conservative use of debt. Also positive, Ice Make Refrigeration grew its EBIT by 29% in the last year, and that should make it easier to pay down debt, going forward. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Ice Make Refrigeration will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. In the last three years, Ice Make Refrigeration created free cash flow amounting to 2.8% of its EBIT, an uninspiring performance. That limp level of cash conversion undermines its ability to manage and pay down debt.

Our View

Ice Make Refrigeration's interest cover suggests it can handle its debt as easily as Cristiano Ronaldo could score a goal against an under 14's goalkeeper. But the stark truth is that we are concerned by its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow. Taking all this data into account, it seems to us that Ice Make Refrigeration takes a pretty sensible approach to debt. That means they are taking on a bit more risk, in the hope of boosting shareholder returns. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Ice Make Refrigeration that you should be aware of before investing here.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.