Stock Analysis

Take Care Before Jumping Onto Hercules Hoists Limited (NSE:HERCULES) Even Though It's 65% Cheaper

NSEI:HERCULES
Source: Shutterstock

The Hercules Hoists Limited (NSE:HERCULES) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a substantial 65%. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 38% in that time.

Even after such a large drop in price, Hercules Hoists' price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 17.5x might still make it look like a buy right now compared to the market in India, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 34x and even P/E's above 65x are quite common. However, the P/E might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

For instance, Hercules Hoists' receding earnings in recent times would have to be some food for thought. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think the company won't do enough to avoid underperforming the broader market in the near future. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

Check out our latest analysis for Hercules Hoists

pe-multiple-vs-industry
NSEI:HERCULES Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry October 12th 2024
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Hercules Hoists, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Is There Any Growth For Hercules Hoists?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as low as Hercules Hoists' is when the company's growth is on track to lag the market.

Taking a look back first, the company's earnings per share growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 65%. Still, the latest three year period has seen an excellent 323% overall rise in EPS, in spite of its unsatisfying short-term performance. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the earnings growth recently has been more than adequate for the company.

Weighing that recent medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 26% shows it's noticeably more attractive on an annualised basis.

With this information, we find it odd that Hercules Hoists is trading at a P/E lower than the market. Apparently some shareholders believe the recent performance has exceeded its limits and have been accepting significantly lower selling prices.

What We Can Learn From Hercules Hoists' P/E?

Hercules Hoists' P/E has taken a tumble along with its share price. It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

Our examination of Hercules Hoists revealed its three-year earnings trends aren't contributing to its P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted, given they look better than current market expectations. There could be some major unobserved threats to earnings preventing the P/E ratio from matching this positive performance. It appears many are indeed anticipating earnings instability, because the persistence of these recent medium-term conditions would normally provide a boost to the share price.

Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 5 warning signs for Hercules Hoists (1 can't be ignored!) that you should be aware of.

Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than Hercules Hoists. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Hercules Hoists might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

Access Free Analysis

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.