Stock Analysis

HEG Limited's (NSE:HEG) P/E Is Still On The Mark Following 35% Share Price Bounce

NSEI:HEG
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Despite an already strong run, HEG Limited (NSE:HEG) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 35% in the last thirty days. The last 30 days bring the annual gain to a very sharp 70%.

After such a large jump in price, HEG may be sending very bearish signals at the moment with a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 61.7x, since almost half of all companies in India have P/E ratios under 32x and even P/E's lower than 18x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/E.

HEG hasn't been tracking well recently as its declining earnings compare poorly to other companies, which have seen some growth on average. It might be that many expect the dour earnings performance to recover substantially, which has kept the P/E from collapsing. If not, then existing shareholders may be extremely nervous about the viability of the share price.

See our latest analysis for HEG

pe-multiple-vs-industry
NSEI:HEG Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry December 5th 2024
Keen to find out how analysts think HEG's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

Is There Enough Growth For HEG?

In order to justify its P/E ratio, HEG would need to produce outstanding growth well in excess of the market.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 59% decrease to the company's bottom line. That put a dampener on the good run it was having over the longer-term as its three-year EPS growth is still a noteworthy 6.2% in total. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a good job of growing earnings over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the two analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 78% per year over the next three years. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to only expand by 19% each year, which is noticeably less attractive.

In light of this, it's understandable that HEG's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.

The Bottom Line On HEG's P/E

HEG's P/E is flying high just like its stock has during the last month. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

As we suspected, our examination of HEG's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior earnings outlook is contributing to its high P/E. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/E as they are quite confident future earnings aren't under threat. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.

We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 4 warning signs for HEG that you need to be mindful of.

Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than HEG. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if HEG might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.