Stock Analysis

Gensol Engineering (NSE:GENSOL) Strong Profits May Be Masking Some Underlying Issues

NSEI:GENSOL
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Gensol Engineering Limited's (NSE:GENSOL ) stock didn't jump after it announced some healthy earnings. We did some digging and believe investors may be worried about some underlying factors in the report.

Check out our latest analysis for Gensol Engineering

earnings-and-revenue-history
NSEI:GENSOL Earnings and Revenue History June 5th 2024

A Closer Look At Gensol Engineering's Earnings

As finance nerds would already know, the accrual ratio from cashflow is a key measure for assessing how well a company's free cash flow (FCF) matches its profit. In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.

Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.

Gensol Engineering has an accrual ratio of 0.72 for the year to March 2024. Statistically speaking, that's a real negative for future earnings. And indeed, during the period the company didn't produce any free cash flow whatsoever. Over the last year it actually had negative free cash flow of ₹5.8b, in contrast to the aforementioned profit of ₹595.6m. Coming off the back of negative free cash flow last year, we imagine some shareholders might wonder if its cash burn of ₹5.8b, this year, indicates high risk.

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Gensol Engineering.

Our Take On Gensol Engineering's Profit Performance

As we discussed above, we think Gensol Engineering's earnings were not supported by free cash flow, which might concern some investors. As a result, we think it may well be the case that Gensol Engineering's underlying earnings power is lower than its statutory profit. But on the bright side, its earnings per share have grown at an extremely impressive rate over the last three years. The goal of this article has been to assess how well we can rely on the statutory earnings to reflect the company's potential, but there is plenty more to consider. Keep in mind, when it comes to analysing a stock it's worth noting the risks involved. Case in point: We've spotted 3 warning signs for Gensol Engineering you should be mindful of and 2 of these make us uncomfortable.

Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of Gensol Engineering's profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with significant insider holdings to be useful.

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Find out whether Gensol Engineering is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.