Stock Analysis

Does Force Motors (NSE:FORCEMOT) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

NSEI:FORCEMOT
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Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We note that Force Motors Limited (NSE:FORCEMOT) does have debt on its balance sheet. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Force Motors

How Much Debt Does Force Motors Carry?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of September 2022 Force Motors had ₹9.91b of debt, an increase on ₹8.39b, over one year. However, it also had ₹1.38b in cash, and so its net debt is ₹8.53b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NSEI:FORCEMOT Debt to Equity History February 13th 2023

How Healthy Is Force Motors' Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Force Motors had liabilities of ₹16.6b due within 12 months, and liabilities of ₹5.51b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of ₹1.38b as well as receivables valued at ₹1.84b due within 12 months. So its liabilities total ₹18.9b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

When you consider that this deficiency exceeds the company's ₹16.9b market capitalization, you might well be inclined to review the balance sheet intently. Hypothetically, extremely heavy dilution would be required if the company were forced to pay down its liabilities by raising capital at the current share price. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is Force Motors's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

In the last year Force Motors wasn't profitable at an EBIT level, but managed to grow its revenue by 47%, to ₹44b. Shareholders probably have their fingers crossed that it can grow its way to profits.

Caveat Emptor

Despite the top line growth, Force Motors still had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss over the last year. To be specific the EBIT loss came in at ₹146m. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above make us nervous about the company. It would need to improve its operations quickly for us to be interested in it. Not least because it had negative free cash flow of ₹413m over the last twelve months. So suffice it to say we consider the stock to be risky. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Case in point: We've spotted 3 warning signs for Force Motors you should be aware of, and 2 of them are potentially serious.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.