Stock Analysis

Impressive Earnings May Not Tell The Whole Story For Engineers India (NSE:ENGINERSIN)

NSEI:ENGINERSIN
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Investors were disappointed with Engineers India Limited's (NSE:ENGINERSIN) earnings, despite the strong profit numbers. We think that the market might be paying attention to some underlying factors that they find to be concerning.

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earnings-and-revenue-history
NSEI:ENGINERSIN Earnings and Revenue History June 5th 2024

Examining Cashflow Against Engineers India's Earnings

As finance nerds would already know, the accrual ratio from cashflow is a key measure for assessing how well a company's free cash flow (FCF) matches its profit. In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.

Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. Notably, there is some academic evidence that suggests that a high accrual ratio is a bad sign for near-term profits, generally speaking.

Over the twelve months to March 2024, Engineers India recorded an accrual ratio of 0.31. Unfortunately, that means its free cash flow was a lot less than its statutory profit, which makes us doubt the utility of profit as a guide. Indeed, in the last twelve months it reported free cash flow of ₹1.9b, which is significantly less than its profit of ₹4.45b. Given that Engineers India had negative free cash flow in the prior corresponding period, the trailing twelve month resul of ₹1.9b would seem to be a step in the right direction.

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

Our Take On Engineers India's Profit Performance

Engineers India's accrual ratio for the last twelve months signifies cash conversion is less than ideal, which is a negative when it comes to our view of its earnings. Therefore, it seems possible to us that Engineers India's true underlying earnings power is actually less than its statutory profit. But the good news is that its EPS growth over the last three years has been very impressive. At the end of the day, it's essential to consider more than just the factors above, if you want to understand the company properly. If you'd like to know more about Engineers India as a business, it's important to be aware of any risks it's facing. Case in point: We've spotted 3 warning signs for Engineers India you should be mindful of and 2 of these make us uncomfortable.

Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of Engineers India's profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with significant insider holdings to be useful.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Engineers India is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.