Stock Analysis

Cummins India (NSE:CUMMINSIND) Is Increasing Its Dividend To ₹10.50

NSEI:CUMMINSIND
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Cummins India Limited (NSE:CUMMINSIND) has announced that it will be increasing its dividend on the 6th of September to ₹10.50. This takes the dividend yield to 1.8%, which shareholders will be pleased with.

View our latest analysis for Cummins India

Cummins India's Payment Has Solid Earnings Coverage

While it is great to have a strong dividend yield, we should also consider whether the payment is sustainable. The last dividend was quite comfortably covered by Cummins India's earnings, but it was a bit tighter on the cash flow front. By paying out so much of its cash flows, this could indicate that the company has limited opportunities for investment and growth.

Looking forward, earnings per share is forecast to rise by 11.2% over the next year. If the dividend continues on this path, the payout ratio could be 54% by next year, which we think can be pretty sustainable going forward.

historic-dividend
NSEI:CUMMINSIND Historic Dividend May 29th 2022

Dividend Volatility

Although the company has a long dividend history, it has been cut at least once in the last 10 years. Since 2012, the first annual payment was ₹11.43, compared to the most recent full-year payment of ₹21.00. This works out to be a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 6.3% a year over that time. It's good to see the dividend growing at a decent rate, but the dividend has been cut at least once in the past. Cummins India might have put its house in order since then, but we remain cautious.

Dividend Growth May Be Hard To Achieve

With a relatively unstable dividend, it's even more important to evaluate if earnings per share is growing, which could point to a growing dividend in the future. Earnings per share has been crawling upwards at 3.8% per year. Growth of 3.8% per annum is not particularly high, which might explain why the company is paying out a higher proportion of earnings. This could mean the dividend doesn't have the growth potential we look for going into the future.

Our Thoughts On Cummins India's Dividend

Overall, we always like to see the dividend being raised, but we don't think Cummins India will make a great income stock. The company hasn't been paying a very consistent dividend over time, despite only paying out a small portion of earnings. We would probably look elsewhere for an income investment.

It's important to note that companies having a consistent dividend policy will generate greater investor confidence than those having an erratic one. Still, investors need to consider a host of other factors, apart from dividend payments, when analysing a company. For instance, we've picked out 1 warning sign for Cummins India that investors should take into consideration. Is Cummins India not quite the opportunity you were looking for? Why not check out our selection of top dividend stocks.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.