Returns On Capital At Cochin Shipyard (NSE:COCHINSHIP) Paint A Concerning Picture
If you're not sure where to start when looking for the next multi-bagger, there are a few key trends you should keep an eye out for. In a perfect world, we'd like to see a company investing more capital into its business and ideally the returns earned from that capital are also increasing. Ultimately, this demonstrates that it's a business that is reinvesting profits at increasing rates of return. Having said that, from a first glance at Cochin Shipyard (NSE:COCHINSHIP) we aren't jumping out of our chairs at how returns are trending, but let's have a deeper look.
Understanding Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)
For those that aren't sure what ROCE is, it measures the amount of pre-tax profits a company can generate from the capital employed in its business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for Cochin Shipyard:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.038 = ₹1.8b ÷ (₹100b - ₹51b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2023).
So, Cochin Shipyard has an ROCE of 3.8%. In absolute terms, that's a low return and it also under-performs the Machinery industry average of 15%.
Check out our latest analysis for Cochin Shipyard
In the above chart we have measured Cochin Shipyard's prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you'd like, you can check out the forecasts from the analysts covering Cochin Shipyard here for free.
SWOT Analysis for Cochin Shipyard
- Debt is not viewed as a risk.
- Dividends are covered by earnings and cash flows.
- Dividend is in the top 25% of dividend payers in the market.
- Earnings declined over the past year.
- Annual earnings are forecast to grow faster than the Indian market.
- Good value based on P/E ratio compared to estimated Fair P/E ratio.
- No apparent threats visible for COCHINSHIP.
What Does the ROCE Trend For Cochin Shipyard Tell Us?
When we looked at the ROCE trend at Cochin Shipyard, we didn't gain much confidence. To be more specific, ROCE has fallen from 13% over the last five years. And considering revenue has dropped while employing more capital, we'd be cautious. This could mean that the business is losing its competitive advantage or market share, because while more money is being put into ventures, it's actually producing a lower return - "less bang for their buck" per se.
While on the subject, we noticed that the ratio of current liabilities to total assets has risen to 51%, which has impacted the ROCE. If current liabilities hadn't increased as much as they did, the ROCE could actually be even lower. And with current liabilities at these levels, suppliers or short-term creditors are effectively funding a large part of the business, which can introduce some risks.
In Conclusion...
In summary, we're somewhat concerned by Cochin Shipyard's diminishing returns on increasing amounts of capital. Yet despite these concerning fundamentals, the stock has performed strongly with a 62% return over the last five years, so investors appear very optimistic. Regardless, we don't feel too comfortable with the fundamentals so we'd be steering clear of this stock for now.
On a separate note, we've found 1 warning sign for Cochin Shipyard you'll probably want to know about.
If you want to search for solid companies with great earnings, check out this free list of companies with good balance sheets and impressive returns on equity.
New: AI Stock Screener & Alerts
Our new AI Stock Screener scans the market every day to uncover opportunities.
• Dividend Powerhouses (3%+ Yield)
• Undervalued Small Caps with Insider Buying
• High growth Tech and AI Companies
Or build your own from over 50 metrics.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NSEI:COCHINSHIP
Cochin Shipyard
Engages in the shipbuilding and repair of ships/offshore structures in India.
Flawless balance sheet with proven track record.