Stock Analysis

Cochin Shipyard (NSE:COCHINSHIP) Will Want To Turn Around Its Return Trends

NSEI:COCHINSHIP
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Finding a business that has the potential to grow substantially is not easy, but it is possible if we look at a few key financial metrics. One common approach is to try and find a company with returns on capital employed (ROCE) that are increasing, in conjunction with a growing amount of capital employed. Basically this means that a company has profitable initiatives that it can continue to reinvest in, which is a trait of a compounding machine. Having said that, from a first glance at Cochin Shipyard (NSE:COCHINSHIP) we aren't jumping out of our chairs at how returns are trending, but let's have a deeper look.

What Is Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)?

For those who don't know, ROCE is a measure of a company's yearly pre-tax profit (its return), relative to the capital employed in the business. The formula for this calculation on Cochin Shipyard is:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

0.10 = ₹5.3b ÷ (₹110b - ₹58b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2023).

Therefore, Cochin Shipyard has an ROCE of 10%. In absolute terms, that's a pretty standard return but compared to the Machinery industry average it falls behind.

View our latest analysis for Cochin Shipyard

roce
NSEI:COCHINSHIP Return on Capital Employed April 30th 2024

Above you can see how the current ROCE for Cochin Shipyard compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you're interested, you can view the analysts predictions in our free analyst report for Cochin Shipyard .

How Are Returns Trending?

On the surface, the trend of ROCE at Cochin Shipyard doesn't inspire confidence. Around five years ago the returns on capital were 16%, but since then they've fallen to 10%. On the other hand, the company has been employing more capital without a corresponding improvement in sales in the last year, which could suggest these investments are longer term plays. It's worth keeping an eye on the company's earnings from here on to see if these investments do end up contributing to the bottom line.

While on the subject, we noticed that the ratio of current liabilities to total assets has risen to 53%, which has impacted the ROCE. Without this increase, it's likely that ROCE would be even lower than 10%. What this means is that in reality, a rather large portion of the business is being funded by the likes of the company's suppliers or short-term creditors, which can bring some risks of its own.

Our Take On Cochin Shipyard's ROCE

In summary, Cochin Shipyard is reinvesting funds back into the business for growth but unfortunately it looks like sales haven't increased much just yet. Investors must think there's better things to come because the stock has knocked it out of the park, delivering a 779% gain to shareholders who have held over the last five years. But if the trajectory of these underlying trends continue, we think the likelihood of it being a multi-bagger from here isn't high.

On a separate note, we've found 2 warning signs for Cochin Shipyard you'll probably want to know about.

For those who like to invest in solid companies, check out this free list of companies with solid balance sheets and high returns on equity.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.