Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, Bharat Bijlee Limited (NSE:BBL) does carry debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
Check out our latest analysis for Bharat Bijlee
What Is Bharat Bijlee's Net Debt?
As you can see below, Bharat Bijlee had ₹2.00b of debt at September 2020, down from ₹2.37b a year prior. However, it does have ₹533.7m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about ₹1.47b.
How Healthy Is Bharat Bijlee's Balance Sheet?
According to the last reported balance sheet, Bharat Bijlee had liabilities of ₹3.53b due within 12 months, and liabilities of ₹89.8m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of ₹533.7m as well as receivables valued at ₹3.84b due within 12 months. So it actually has ₹751.5m more liquid assets than total liabilities.
This excess liquidity suggests that Bharat Bijlee is taking a careful approach to debt. Given it has easily adequate short term liquidity, we don't think it will have any issues with its lenders.
In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.
Bharat Bijlee's net debt is 3.8 times its EBITDA, which is a significant but still reasonable amount of leverage. But its EBIT was about 1k times its interest expense, implying the company isn't really paying a high cost to maintain that level of debt. Even were the low cost to prove unsustainable, that is a good sign. Importantly, Bharat Bijlee's EBIT fell a jaw-dropping 39% in the last twelve months. If that decline continues then paying off debt will be harder than selling foie gras at a vegan convention. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Bharat Bijlee will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. Looking at the most recent three years, Bharat Bijlee recorded free cash flow of 24% of its EBIT, which is weaker than we'd expect. That weak cash conversion makes it more difficult to handle indebtedness.
Our View
Neither Bharat Bijlee's ability to grow its EBIT nor its net debt to EBITDA gave us confidence in its ability to take on more debt. But its interest cover tells a very different story, and suggests some resilience. We think that Bharat Bijlee's debt does make it a bit risky, after considering the aforementioned data points together. Not all risk is bad, as it can boost share price returns if it pays off, but this debt risk is worth keeping in mind. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for Bharat Bijlee that you should be aware of.
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
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About NSEI:BBL
Bharat Bijlee
Operates as an electrical engineering company in India and internationally.
Flawless balance sheet with acceptable track record.