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Market Cool On Atmastco Limited's (NSE:ATMASTCO) Earnings Pushing Shares 25% Lower
Atmastco Limited (NSE:ATMASTCO) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow with a 25% share price drop in the last month. Longer-term shareholders will rue the drop in the share price, since it's now virtually flat for the year after a promising few quarters.
Even after such a large drop in price, it's still not a stretch to say that Atmastco's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 35.3x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the market in India, where the median P/E ratio is around 34x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/E without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.
The earnings growth achieved at Atmastco over the last year would be more than acceptable for most companies. It might be that many expect the respectable earnings performance to wane, which has kept the P/E from rising. If that doesn't eventuate, then existing shareholders probably aren't too pessimistic about the future direction of the share price.
See our latest analysis for Atmastco
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Atmastco, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.Is There Some Growth For Atmastco?
Atmastco's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver moderate growth, and importantly, perform in line with the market.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 24% last year. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow EPS by 2,005% in total over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing earnings over that time.
Weighing that recent medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 26% shows it's noticeably more attractive on an annualised basis.
With this information, we find it interesting that Atmastco is trading at a fairly similar P/E to the market. It may be that most investors are not convinced the company can maintain its recent growth rates.
The Key Takeaway
With its share price falling into a hole, the P/E for Atmastco looks quite average now. Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
We've established that Atmastco currently trades on a lower than expected P/E since its recent three-year growth is higher than the wider market forecast. When we see strong earnings with faster-than-market growth, we assume potential risks are what might be placing pressure on the P/E ratio. It appears some are indeed anticipating earnings instability, because the persistence of these recent medium-term conditions would normally provide a boost to the share price.
You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 2 warning signs for Atmastco you should be aware of, and 1 of them shouldn't be ignored.
If you're unsure about the strength of Atmastco's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NSEI:ATMASTCO
Atmastco
Engages in the design, manufacture, and supply of precision equipment and heavy fabrication structures for various industrial use in India.
Solid track record with adequate balance sheet.