Ashok Leyland Limited's (NSE:ASHOKLEY) Price Is Right But Growth Is Lacking
Ashok Leyland Limited's (NSE:ASHOKLEY) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 20.9x might make it look like a buy right now compared to the market in India, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 31x and even P/E's above 58x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/E.
Ashok Leyland certainly has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing earnings more than most other companies. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the P/E. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
See our latest analysis for Ashok Leyland
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Ashok Leyland.Is There Any Growth For Ashok Leyland?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as low as Ashok Leyland's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the market.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 280% gain to the company's bottom line. Still, EPS has barely risen at all from three years ago in total, which is not ideal. Accordingly, shareholders probably wouldn't have been overly satisfied with the unstable medium-term growth rates.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 10% per annum as estimated by the analysts watching the company. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 20% per annum growth forecast for the broader market.
In light of this, it's understandable that Ashok Leyland's P/E sits below the majority of other companies. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on while the company is potentially eyeing a less prosperous future.
The Key Takeaway
While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.
We've established that Ashok Leyland maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its forecast growth being lower than the wider market, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.
We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 2 warning signs for Ashok Leyland (1 is concerning!) that you need to be mindful of.
Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a low P/E.
New: Manage All Your Stock Portfolios in One Place
We've created the ultimate portfolio companion for stock investors, and it's free.
• Connect an unlimited number of Portfolios and see your total in one currency
• Be alerted to new Warning Signs or Risks via email or mobile
• Track the Fair Value of your stocks
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NSEI:ASHOKLEY
Ashok Leyland
Manufactures and sells commercial vehicles in India and internationally.
Average dividend payer and fair value.