Stock Analysis

Here's Why Akash Infra-Projects (NSE:AKASH) Has A Meaningful Debt Burden

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NSEI:AKASH

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that Akash Infra-Projects Limited (NSE:AKASH) does use debt in its business. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

Check out our latest analysis for Akash Infra-Projects

How Much Debt Does Akash Infra-Projects Carry?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at March 2024 Akash Infra-Projects had debt of ₹882.5m, up from ₹605.6m in one year. On the flip side, it has ₹56.9m in cash leading to net debt of about ₹825.5m.

NSEI:AKASH Debt to Equity History July 5th 2024

How Healthy Is Akash Infra-Projects' Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Akash Infra-Projects had liabilities of ₹1.11b due within 12 months, and liabilities of ₹149.9m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of ₹56.9m as well as receivables valued at ₹1.53b due within 12 months. So it actually has ₹325.7m more liquid assets than total liabilities.

This surplus strongly suggests that Akash Infra-Projects has a rock-solid balance sheet (and the debt is of no concern whatsoever). With this in mind one could posit that its balance sheet means the company is able to handle some adversity.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

Akash Infra-Projects shareholders face the double whammy of a high net debt to EBITDA ratio (25.5), and fairly weak interest coverage, since EBIT is just 0.54 times the interest expense. The debt burden here is substantial. Even worse, Akash Infra-Projects saw its EBIT tank 57% over the last 12 months. If earnings keep going like that over the long term, it has a snowball's chance in hell of paying off that debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is Akash Infra-Projects's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. During the last two years, Akash Infra-Projects burned a lot of cash. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.

Our View

On the face of it, Akash Infra-Projects's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow left us tentative about the stock, and its EBIT growth rate was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. But at least it's pretty decent at staying on top of its total liabilities; that's encouraging. Looking at the balance sheet and taking into account all these factors, we do believe that debt is making Akash Infra-Projects stock a bit risky. Some people like that sort of risk, but we're mindful of the potential pitfalls, so we'd probably prefer it carry less debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Case in point: We've spotted 4 warning signs for Akash Infra-Projects you should be aware of, and 3 of them make us uncomfortable.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.