Stock Analysis

These 4 Measures Indicate That Agarwal Float Glass India (NSE:AGARWALFT) Is Using Debt Reasonably Well

NSEI:AGARWALFT
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. As with many other companies Agarwal Float Glass India Limited (NSE:AGARWALFT) makes use of debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Agarwal Float Glass India

What Is Agarwal Float Glass India's Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of September 2024 Agarwal Float Glass India had ₹157.6m of debt, an increase on ₹118.2m, over one year. However, it also had ₹3.67m in cash, and so its net debt is ₹153.9m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NSEI:AGARWALFT Debt to Equity History November 16th 2024

How Strong Is Agarwal Float Glass India's Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Agarwal Float Glass India had liabilities of ₹153.2m falling due within a year, and liabilities of ₹23.6m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had ₹3.67m in cash and ₹182.0m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it can boast ₹8.88m more liquid assets than total liabilities.

This state of affairs indicates that Agarwal Float Glass India's balance sheet looks quite solid, as its total liabilities are just about equal to its liquid assets. So while it's hard to imagine that the ₹612.8m company is struggling for cash, we still think it's worth monitoring its balance sheet.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

While we wouldn't worry about Agarwal Float Glass India's net debt to EBITDA ratio of 4.6, we think its super-low interest cover of 2.3 times is a sign of high leverage. It seems clear that the cost of borrowing money is negatively impacting returns for shareholders, of late. The good news is that Agarwal Float Glass India grew its EBIT a smooth 41% over the last twelve months. Like the milk of human kindness that sort of growth increases resilience, making the company more capable of managing debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Agarwal Float Glass India will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. During the last three years, Agarwal Float Glass India burned a lot of cash. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.

Our View

Agarwal Float Glass India's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow was a real negative on this analysis, although the other factors we considered were considerably better. In particular, we are dazzled with its EBIT growth rate. When we consider all the factors mentioned above, we do feel a bit cautious about Agarwal Float Glass India's use of debt. While we appreciate debt can enhance returns on equity, we'd suggest that shareholders keep close watch on its debt levels, lest they increase. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. We've identified 3 warning signs with Agarwal Float Glass India (at least 2 which don't sit too well with us) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.