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3M India Limited's (NSE:3MINDIA) Shares May Have Run Too Fast Too Soon
With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 64.4x 3M India Limited (NSE:3MINDIA) may be sending very bearish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all companies in India have P/E ratios under 29x and even P/E's lower than 16x are not unusual. However, the P/E might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
With earnings growth that's superior to most other companies of late, 3M India has been doing relatively well. It seems that many are expecting the strong earnings performance to persist, which has raised the P/E. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
Check out our latest analysis for 3M India
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on 3M India.How Is 3M India's Growth Trending?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as steep as 3M India's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the market decidedly.
If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 46%. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow EPS by 226% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably welcomed those medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 9.5% per year during the coming three years according to the one analyst following the company. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 19% per year growth forecast for the broader market.
In light of this, it's alarming that 3M India's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as this level of earnings growth is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
What We Can Learn From 3M India's P/E?
We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
Our examination of 3M India's analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior earnings outlook isn't impacting its high P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted. Right now we are increasingly uncomfortable with the high P/E as the predicted future earnings aren't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. This places shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.
We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 1 warning sign for 3M India that you need to be mindful of.
If you're unsure about the strength of 3M India's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if 3M India might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NSEI:3MINDIA
3M India
Manufactures and trades in various products for the automotive, commercial solutions, consumer markets, design and construction, electronics, energy, health care, manufacturing, safety, and transportation industries in India and internationally.
Flawless balance sheet with moderate growth potential.