Stock Analysis

Tube Investments of India's (NSE:TIINDIA) earnings growth rate lags the 60% CAGR delivered to shareholders

NSEI:TIINDIA
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Buying shares in the best businesses can build meaningful wealth for you and your family. While the best companies are hard to find, but they can generate massive returns over long periods. To wit, the Tube Investments of India Limited (NSE:TIINDIA) share price has soared 920% over five years. And this is just one example of the epic gains achieved by some long term investors. On top of that, the share price is up 12% in about a quarter. Anyone who held for that rewarding ride would probably be keen to talk about it.

In light of the stock dropping 3.3% in the past week, we want to investigate the longer term story, and see if fundamentals have been the driver of the company's positive five-year return.

Check out our latest analysis for Tube Investments of India

There is no denying that markets are sometimes efficient, but prices do not always reflect underlying business performance. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.

During five years of share price growth, Tube Investments of India achieved compound earnings per share (EPS) growth of 21% per year. This EPS growth is slower than the share price growth of 59% per year, over the same period. This suggests that market participants hold the company in higher regard, these days. That's not necessarily surprising considering the five-year track record of earnings growth. This favorable sentiment is reflected in its (fairly optimistic) P/E ratio of 126.94.

The image below shows how EPS has tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).

earnings-per-share-growth
NSEI:TIINDIA Earnings Per Share Growth November 3rd 2024

It's probably worth noting that the CEO is paid less than the median at similar sized companies. But while CEO remuneration is always worth checking, the really important question is whether the company can grow earnings going forward. Before buying or selling a stock, we always recommend a close examination of historic growth trends, available here..

What About Dividends?

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. We note that for Tube Investments of India the TSR over the last 5 years was 935%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!

A Different Perspective

Tube Investments of India provided a TSR of 40% over the year (including dividends). That's fairly close to the broader market return. It has to be noted that the recent return falls short of the 60% shareholders have gained each year, over half a decade. More recently, the share price growth has slowed. But it has to be said the overall picture is one of good long term and short term performance. Arguably that makes Tube Investments of India a stock worth watching. Shareholders might want to examine this detailed historical graph of past earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of companies we expect will grow earnings.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Indian exchanges.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Tube Investments of India might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About NSEI:TIINDIA

Tube Investments of India

Engages in the manufacture and sale of precision engineered and metal formed products to automotive, railway, construction, agriculture, etc.

Solid track record with adequate balance sheet.