Stock Analysis

Shivam Autotech (NSE:SHIVAMAUTO) Takes On Some Risk With Its Use Of Debt

NSEI:SHIVAMAUTO
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Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. As with many other companies Shivam Autotech Limited (NSE:SHIVAMAUTO) makes use of debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Shivam Autotech

How Much Debt Does Shivam Autotech Carry?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Shivam Autotech had ₹3.82b of debt in March 2021, down from ₹4.29b, one year before. However, because it has a cash reserve of ₹619.5m, its net debt is less, at about ₹3.20b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NSEI:SHIVAMAUTO Debt to Equity History June 17th 2021

A Look At Shivam Autotech's Liabilities

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Shivam Autotech had liabilities of ₹3.62b falling due within a year, and liabilities of ₹2.59b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had ₹619.5m in cash and ₹705.7m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total ₹4.89b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

This deficit casts a shadow over the ₹2.43b company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. After all, Shivam Autotech would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

While Shivam Autotech's debt to EBITDA ratio (4.0) suggests that it uses some debt, its interest cover is very weak, at 0.57, suggesting high leverage. It seems that the business incurs large depreciation and amortisation charges, so maybe its debt load is heavier than it would first appear, since EBITDA is arguably a generous measure of earnings. So shareholders should probably be aware that interest expenses appear to have really impacted the business lately. However, the silver lining was that Shivam Autotech achieved a positive EBIT of ₹323m in the last twelve months, an improvement on the prior year's loss. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Shivam Autotech will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of the earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) is backed by free cash flow. Over the last year, Shivam Autotech actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. That sort of strong cash generation warms our hearts like a puppy in a bumblebee suit.

Our View

To be frank both Shivam Autotech's interest cover and its track record of staying on top of its total liabilities make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. But on the bright side, its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow is a good sign, and makes us more optimistic. Looking at the bigger picture, it seems clear to us that Shivam Autotech's use of debt is creating risks for the company. If everything goes well that may pay off but the downside of this debt is a greater risk of permanent losses. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. We've identified 3 warning signs with Shivam Autotech (at least 1 which is concerning) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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