Stock Analysis

Rico Auto Industries (NSE:RICOAUTO) Takes On Some Risk With Its Use Of Debt

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. As with many other companies Rico Auto Industries Limited (NSE:RICOAUTO) makes use of debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

Advertisement

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Rico Auto Industries

What Is Rico Auto Industries's Net Debt?

The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Rico Auto Industries had ₹6.96b in debt in September 2024; about the same as the year before. On the flip side, it has ₹240.3m in cash leading to net debt of about ₹6.72b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NSEI:RICOAUTO Debt to Equity History January 3rd 2025

A Look At Rico Auto Industries' Liabilities

The latest balance sheet data shows that Rico Auto Industries had liabilities of ₹9.39b due within a year, and liabilities of ₹3.68b falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had ₹240.3m in cash and ₹4.13b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total ₹8.70b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

This deficit is considerable relative to its market capitalization of ₹13.4b, so it does suggest shareholders should keep an eye on Rico Auto Industries' use of debt. This suggests shareholders would be heavily diluted if the company needed to shore up its balance sheet in a hurry.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

While Rico Auto Industries's debt to EBITDA ratio (3.2) suggests that it uses some debt, its interest cover is very weak, at 2.0, suggesting high leverage. It seems that the business incurs large depreciation and amortisation charges, so maybe its debt load is heavier than it would first appear, since EBITDA is arguably a generous measure of earnings. It seems clear that the cost of borrowing money is negatively impacting returns for shareholders, of late. More concerning, Rico Auto Industries saw its EBIT drop by 7.4% in the last twelve months. If it keeps going like that paying off its debt will be like running on a treadmill -- a lot of effort for not much advancement. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is Rico Auto Industries's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. Looking at the most recent three years, Rico Auto Industries recorded free cash flow of 30% of its EBIT, which is weaker than we'd expect. That weak cash conversion makes it more difficult to handle indebtedness.

Our View

We'd go so far as to say Rico Auto Industries's interest cover was disappointing. And even its level of total liabilities fails to inspire much confidence. Looking at the bigger picture, it seems clear to us that Rico Auto Industries's use of debt is creating risks for the company. If all goes well, that should boost returns, but on the flip side, the risk of permanent capital loss is elevated by the debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Be aware that Rico Auto Industries is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 1 of those is a bit concerning...

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

New: AI Stock Screener & Alerts

Our new AI Stock Screener scans the market every day to uncover opportunities.

• Dividend Powerhouses (3%+ Yield)
• Undervalued Small Caps with Insider Buying
• High growth Tech and AI Companies

Or build your own from over 50 metrics.

Explore Now for Free

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About NSEI:RICOAUTO

Rico Auto Industries

An engineering company, manufactures and supplies high precision fully machined aluminum, and ferrous components and assemblies to original equipment manufacturers worldwide.

Proven track record second-rate dividend payer.

Advertisement

Updated Narratives

BL
BlackGoat
GOOG logo
BlackGoat on Alphabet ·

Alphabet: The Under-appreciated Compounder Hiding in Plain Sight

Fair Value:US$324.481.3% undervalued
74 users have followed this narrative
3 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative
BE
Bejgal
MNSO logo
Bejgal on MINISO Group Holding ·

MINISO's fair value is projected at 26.69 with an anticipated PE ratio shift of 20x

Fair Value:US$26.6926.7% undervalued
44 users have followed this narrative
3 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative
TI
TickerTickle
ORCL logo
TickerTickle on Oracle ·

The Quiet Giant That Became AI’s Power Grid

Fair Value:US$389.8147.4% undervalued
8 users have followed this narrative
1 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative

Popular Narratives

OS
oscargarcia
GOOGL logo
oscargarcia on Alphabet ·

The company that turned a verb into a global necessity and basically runs the modern internet, digital ads, smartphones, maps, and AI.

Fair Value:US$3405.9% undervalued
136 users have followed this narrative
6 users have commented on this narrative
18 users have liked this narrative
TH
TheWallstreetKing
MVIS logo
TheWallstreetKing on MicroVision ·

MicroVision will explode future revenue by 380.37% with a vision towards success

Fair Value:US$6098.4% undervalued
89 users have followed this narrative
11 users have commented on this narrative
18 users have liked this narrative
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
NVDA logo
AnalystConsensusTarget on NVIDIA ·

NVDA: Expanding AI Demand Will Drive Major Data Center Investments Through 2026

Fair Value:US$232.7922.6% undervalued
926 users have followed this narrative
6 users have commented on this narrative
22 users have liked this narrative