Stock Analysis

It's Down 28% But Precision Metaliks Limited (NSE:PRECISION) Could Be Riskier Than It Looks

NSEI:PRECISION
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Unfortunately for some shareholders, the Precision Metaliks Limited (NSE:PRECISION) share price has dived 28% in the last thirty days, prolonging recent pain. To make matters worse, the recent drop has wiped out a year's worth of gains with the share price now back where it started a year ago.

After such a large drop in price, given close to half the companies in India have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 20x, you may consider Precision Metaliks as an attractive investment with its 11.5x P/E ratio. However, the P/E might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

Recent times have been quite advantageous for Precision Metaliks as its earnings have been rising very briskly. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think this strong earnings growth might actually underperform the broader market in the near future. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

See our latest analysis for Precision Metaliks

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NSEI:PRECISION Price Based on Past Earnings June 22nd 2022
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Precision Metaliks, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/E?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as low as Precision Metaliks' is when the company's growth is on track to lag the market.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 40% gain to the company's bottom line. Pleasingly, EPS has also lifted 2,092% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably welcomed those medium-term rates of earnings growth.

Weighing that recent medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 21% shows it's noticeably more attractive on an annualised basis.

In light of this, it's peculiar that Precision Metaliks' P/E sits below the majority of other companies. Apparently some shareholders believe the recent performance has exceeded its limits and have been accepting significantly lower selling prices.

What We Can Learn From Precision Metaliks' P/E?

Precision Metaliks' P/E has taken a tumble along with its share price. We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

We've established that Precision Metaliks currently trades on a much lower than expected P/E since its recent three-year growth is higher than the wider market forecast. When we see strong earnings with faster-than-market growth, we assume potential risks are what might be placing significant pressure on the P/E ratio. It appears many are indeed anticipating earnings instability, because the persistence of these recent medium-term conditions would normally provide a boost to the share price.

You need to take note of risks, for example - Precision Metaliks has 3 warning signs (and 2 which are significant) we think you should know about.

You might be able to find a better investment than Precision Metaliks. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a P/E below 20x (but have proven they can grow earnings).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.