Stock Analysis

These 4 Measures Indicate That PPAP Automotive (NSE:PPAP) Is Using Debt Extensively

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. As with many other companies PPAP Automotive Limited (NSE:PPAP) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

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When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for PPAP Automotive

How Much Debt Does PPAP Automotive Carry?

As you can see below, at the end of September 2021, PPAP Automotive had ₹719.0m of debt, up from ₹424.4m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. On the flip side, it has ₹19.5m in cash leading to net debt of about ₹699.5m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NSEI:PPAP Debt to Equity History February 15th 2022

A Look At PPAP Automotive's Liabilities

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that PPAP Automotive had liabilities of ₹1.04b due within 12 months and liabilities of ₹570.8m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of ₹19.5m and ₹638.2m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total ₹956.9m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

PPAP Automotive has a market capitalization of ₹2.84b, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

PPAP Automotive's net debt is sitting at a very reasonable 1.7 times its EBITDA, while its EBIT covered its interest expense just 2.8 times last year. It seems that the business incurs large depreciation and amortisation charges, so maybe its debt load is heavier than it would first appear, since EBITDA is arguably a generous measure of earnings. Notably, PPAP Automotive's EBIT launched higher than Elon Musk, gaining a whopping 225% on last year. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is PPAP Automotive's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. Over the last three years, PPAP Automotive saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.

Our View

PPAP Automotive's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow and interest cover definitely weigh on it, in our esteem. But the good news is it seems to be able to grow its EBIT with ease. We think that PPAP Automotive's debt does make it a bit risky, after considering the aforementioned data points together. Not all risk is bad, as it can boost share price returns if it pays off, but this debt risk is worth keeping in mind. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 4 warning signs for PPAP Automotive (of which 1 is concerning!) you should know about.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About NSEI:PPAP

PPAP Automotive

Manufactures and sells automotive sealing systems and injection-moulded plastic parts in India and internationally.

Moderate risk and slightly overvalued.

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