Stock Analysis

Would Lumax Auto Technologies Limited (NSE:LUMAXTECH) Be Valuable To Income Investors?

NSEI:LUMAXTECH
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Could Lumax Auto Technologies Limited (NSE:LUMAXTECH) be an attractive dividend share to own for the long haul? Investors are often drawn to strong companies with the idea of reinvesting the dividends. On the other hand, investors have been known to buy a stock because of its yield, and then lose money if the company's dividend doesn't live up to expectations.

While Lumax Auto Technologies's 1.6% dividend yield is not the highest, we think its lengthy payment history is quite interesting. That said, the recent jump in the share price will make Lumax Auto Technologies's dividend yield look smaller, even though the company prospects could be improving. Some simple analysis can reduce the risk of holding Lumax Auto Technologies for its dividend, and we'll focus on the most important aspects below.

Explore this interactive chart for our latest analysis on Lumax Auto Technologies!

historic-dividend
NSEI:LUMAXTECH Historic Dividend January 31st 2021

Payout ratios

Companies (usually) pay dividends out of their earnings. If a company is paying more than it earns, the dividend might have to be cut. So we need to form a view on if a company's dividend is sustainable, relative to its net profit after tax. In the last year, Lumax Auto Technologies paid out 33% of its profit as dividends. This is a medium payout level that leaves enough capital in the business to fund opportunities that might arise, while also rewarding shareholders. Plus, there is room to increase the payout ratio over time.

In addition to comparing dividends against profits, we should inspect whether the company generated enough cash to pay its dividend. Lumax Auto Technologies paid out 24% of its free cash flow as dividends last year, which is conservative and suggests the dividend is sustainable. It's encouraging to see that the dividend is covered by both profit and cash flow. This generally suggests the dividend is sustainable, as long as earnings don't drop precipitously.

With a strong net cash balance, Lumax Auto Technologies investors may not have much to worry about in the near term from a dividend perspective.

Consider getting our latest analysis on Lumax Auto Technologies' financial position here.

Dividend Volatility

Before buying a stock for its income, we want to see if the dividends have been stable in the past, and if the company has a track record of maintaining its dividend. For the purpose of this article, we only scrutinise the last decade of Lumax Auto Technologies' dividend payments. This dividend has been unstable, which we define as having been cut one or more times over this time. During the past 10-year period, the first annual payment was ₹1.2 in 2011, compared to ₹2.0 last year. This works out to be a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 5.2% a year over that time. Lumax Auto Technologies' dividend payments have fluctuated, so it hasn't grown 5.2% every year, but the CAGR is a useful rule of thumb for approximating the historical growth.

A reasonable rate of dividend growth is good to see, but we're wary that the dividend history is not as solid as we'd like, having been cut at least once.

Dividend Growth Potential

Given that the dividend has been cut in the past, we need to check if earnings are growing and if that might lead to stronger dividends in the future. Over the past five years, it looks as though Lumax Auto Technologies' EPS have declined at around 8.2% a year. If earnings continue to decline, the dividend may come under pressure. Every investor should make an assessment of whether the company is taking steps to stabilise the situation.

Conclusion

Dividend investors should always want to know if a) a company's dividends are affordable, b) if there is a track record of consistent payments, and c) if the dividend is capable of growing. It's great to see that Lumax Auto Technologies is paying out a low percentage of its earnings and cash flow. Earnings per share are down, and Lumax Auto Technologies' dividend has been cut at least once in the past, which is disappointing. While we're not hugely bearish on it, overall we think there are potentially better dividend stocks than Lumax Auto Technologies out there.

Companies possessing a stable dividend policy will likely enjoy greater investor interest than those suffering from a more inconsistent approach. At the same time, there are other factors our readers should be conscious of before pouring capital into a stock. For instance, we've picked out 3 warning signs for Lumax Auto Technologies that investors should take into consideration.

If you are a dividend investor, you might also want to look at our curated list of dividend stocks yielding above 3%.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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