Stock Analysis

Divgi TorqTransfer Systems' (NSE:DIVGIITTS) Shareholders Have More To Worry About Than Only Soft Earnings

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NSEI:DIVGIITTS

Last week's earnings announcement from Divgi TorqTransfer Systems Limited (NSE:DIVGIITTS) was disappointing to investors, with a sluggish profit figure. We did some further digging and think they have a few more reasons to be concerned beyond the statutory profit.

View our latest analysis for Divgi TorqTransfer Systems

NSEI:DIVGIITTS Earnings and Revenue History June 1st 2024

Examining Cashflow Against Divgi TorqTransfer Systems' Earnings

As finance nerds would already know, the accrual ratio from cashflow is a key measure for assessing how well a company's free cash flow (FCF) matches its profit. To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.

That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. Notably, there is some academic evidence that suggests that a high accrual ratio is a bad sign for near-term profits, generally speaking.

For the year to March 2024, Divgi TorqTransfer Systems had an accrual ratio of 0.31. Unfortunately, that means its free cash flow was a lot less than its statutory profit, which makes us doubt the utility of profit as a guide. Even though it reported a profit of ₹397.4m, a look at free cash flow indicates it actually burnt through ₹453m in the last year. Coming off the back of negative free cash flow last year, we imagine some shareholders might wonder if its cash burn of ₹453m, this year, indicates high risk.

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

Our Take On Divgi TorqTransfer Systems' Profit Performance

Divgi TorqTransfer Systems didn't convert much of its profit to free cash flow in the last year, which some investors may consider rather suboptimal. Because of this, we think that it may be that Divgi TorqTransfer Systems' statutory profits are better than its underlying earnings power. Sadly, its EPS was down over the last twelve months. At the end of the day, it's essential to consider more than just the factors above, if you want to understand the company properly. So while earnings quality is important, it's equally important to consider the risks facing Divgi TorqTransfer Systems at this point in time. Our analysis shows 2 warning signs for Divgi TorqTransfer Systems (1 shouldn't be ignored!) and we strongly recommend you look at them before investing.

This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of Divgi TorqTransfer Systems' profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About NSEI:DIVGIITTS

Divgi TorqTransfer Systems

Engages in the manufacture and sale of transfer cases, automatic locking hubs, and synchronizers and components to automotive OEMs in India, the United States, China, Mexico, the United Kingdom, Germany, Sweden, Thailand, South Korea, and internationally.