A lackluster earnings announcement from Bosch Limited (NSE:BOSCHLTD) last week didn't sink the stock price. We think that investors are worried about some weaknesses underlying the earnings.
The Impact Of Unusual Items On Profit
To properly understand Bosch's profit results, we need to consider the ₹3.9b gain attributed to unusual items. While it's always nice to have higher profit, a large contribution from unusual items sometimes dampens our enthusiasm. When we crunched the numbers on thousands of publicly listed companies, we found that a boost from unusual items in a given year is often not repeated the next year. And that's as you'd expect, given these boosts are described as 'unusual'. Assuming those unusual items don't show up again in the current year, we'd thus expect profit to be weaker next year (in the absence of business growth, that is).
That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.
Our Take On Bosch's Profit Performance
Arguably, Bosch's statutory earnings have been distorted by unusual items boosting profit. Therefore, it seems possible to us that Bosch's true underlying earnings power is actually less than its statutory profit. But at least holders can take some solace from the 65% per annum growth in EPS for the last three. Of course, we've only just scratched the surface when it comes to analysing its earnings; one could also consider margins, forecast growth, and return on investment, among other factors. So while earnings quality is important, it's equally important to consider the risks facing Bosch at this point in time. You'd be interested to know, that we found 1 warning sign for Bosch and you'll want to know about this.
This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of Bosch's profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.