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Autoline Industries' (NSE:AUTOIND) Profits May Not Reveal Underlying Issues
The market for Autoline Industries Limited's (NSE:AUTOIND) stock was strong after it released a healthy earnings report last week. While the profit numbers were good, our analysis has found some concerning factors that shareholders should be aware of.
Examining Cashflow Against Autoline Industries' Earnings
One key financial ratio used to measure how well a company converts its profit to free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio. To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.
Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.
Autoline Industries has an accrual ratio of 0.27 for the year to March 2025. We can therefore deduce that its free cash flow fell well short of covering its statutory profit. Over the last year it actually had negative free cash flow of ₹890m, in contrast to the aforementioned profit of ₹181.1m. We also note that Autoline Industries' free cash flow was actually negative last year as well, so we could understand if shareholders were bothered by its outflow of ₹890m. Unfortunately for shareholders, the company has also been issuing new shares, diluting their share of future earnings.
Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Autoline Industries.
To understand the value of a company's earnings growth, it is imperative to consider any dilution of shareholders' interests. Autoline Industries expanded the number of shares on issue by 11% over the last year. That means its earnings are split among a greater number of shares. Per share metrics like EPS help us understand how much actual shareholders are benefitting from the company's profits, while the net income level gives us a better view of the company's absolute size. Check out Autoline Industries' historical EPS growth by clicking on this link.
How Is Dilution Impacting Autoline Industries' Earnings Per Share (EPS)?
As you can see above, Autoline Industries has been growing its net income over the last few years, with an annualized gain of 124% over three years. In comparison, earnings per share only gained 106% over the same period. And over the last 12 months, the company grew its profit by 10%. On the other hand, earnings per share are only up 7.3% in that time. Therefore, the dilution is having a noteworthy influence on shareholder returns.
Changes in the share price do tend to reflect changes in earnings per share, in the long run. So it will certainly be a positive for shareholders if Autoline Industries can grow EPS persistently. However, if its profit increases while its earnings per share stay flat (or even fall) then shareholders might not see much benefit. For the ordinary retail shareholder, EPS is a great measure to check your hypothetical "share" of the company's profit.
Our Take On Autoline Industries' Profit Performance
In conclusion, Autoline Industries has weak cashflow relative to earnings, which indicates lower quality earnings, and the dilution means its earnings per share growth is weaker than its profit growth. Considering all this we'd argue Autoline Industries' profits probably give an overly generous impression of its sustainable level of profitability. In light of this, if you'd like to do more analysis on the company, it's vital to be informed of the risks involved. To that end, you should learn about the 4 warning signs we've spotted with Autoline Industries (including 2 which shouldn't be ignored).
In this article we've looked at a number of factors that can impair the utility of profit numbers, and we've come away cautious. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.
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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NSEI:AUTOIND
Autoline Industries
Manufactures and sells sheet metal stampings, welded assemblies, and molds for the automotive industries in India.
Slight risk and slightly overvalued.
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