Stock Analysis

We Think Ralco Agencies (TLV:RLCO) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

TASE:RLCO
Source: Shutterstock

Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that Ralco Agencies Ltd (TLV:RLCO) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Ralco Agencies

How Much Debt Does Ralco Agencies Carry?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at June 2023 Ralco Agencies had debt of ₪25.2m, up from ₪12.8m in one year. However, it also had ₪11.8m in cash, and so its net debt is ₪13.4m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
TASE:RLCO Debt to Equity History October 10th 2023

A Look At Ralco Agencies' Liabilities

The latest balance sheet data shows that Ralco Agencies had liabilities of ₪68.3m due within a year, and liabilities of ₪3.04m falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of ₪11.8m as well as receivables valued at ₪82.4m due within 12 months. So it actually has ₪22.8m more liquid assets than total liabilities.

This excess liquidity suggests that Ralco Agencies is taking a careful approach to debt. Given it has easily adequate short term liquidity, we don't think it will have any issues with its lenders.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

Ralco Agencies has a low net debt to EBITDA ratio of only 0.34. And its EBIT easily covers its interest expense, being 10.3 times the size. So you could argue it is no more threatened by its debt than an elephant is by a mouse. In fact Ralco Agencies's saving grace is its low debt levels, because its EBIT has tanked 22% in the last twelve months. When it comes to paying off debt, falling earnings are no more useful than sugary sodas are for your health. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Ralco Agencies will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. During the last three years, Ralco Agencies produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 53% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.

Our View

The good news is that Ralco Agencies's demonstrated ability handle its debt, based on its EBITDA, delights us like a fluffy puppy does a toddler. But the stark truth is that we are concerned by its EBIT growth rate. Looking at all the aforementioned factors together, it strikes us that Ralco Agencies can handle its debt fairly comfortably. Of course, while this leverage can enhance returns on equity, it does bring more risk, so it's worth keeping an eye on this one. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. To that end, you should be aware of the 3 warning signs we've spotted with Ralco Agencies .

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.