Delek Automotive Systems Ltd (TLV:DLEA) May Have Run Too Fast Too Soon With Recent 25% Price Plummet
Delek Automotive Systems Ltd (TLV:DLEA) shareholders won't be pleased to see that the share price has had a very rough month, dropping 25% and undoing the prior period's positive performance. Looking back over the past twelve months the stock has been a solid performer regardless, with a gain of 11%.
Even after such a large drop in price, there still wouldn't be many who think Delek Automotive Systems' price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.4x is worth a mention when the median P/S in Israel's Specialty Retail industry is similar at about 0.5x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.
Check out our latest analysis for Delek Automotive Systems
What Does Delek Automotive Systems' Recent Performance Look Like?
Delek Automotive Systems has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing revenue at a solid pace. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to only keep up with the broader industry, which has keeping the P/S in line with expectations. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Delek Automotive Systems' earnings, revenue and cash flow.How Is Delek Automotive Systems' Revenue Growth Trending?
The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like Delek Automotive Systems' is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a decent 9.7% gain to the company's revenues. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 34% overall rise in revenue, aided somewhat by its short-term performance. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.
Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 15% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is weaker, based on recent medium-term annualised revenue results.
With this in mind, we find it intriguing that Delek Automotive Systems' P/S is comparable to that of its industry peers. Apparently many investors in the company are less bearish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. Maintaining these prices will be difficult to achieve as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh down the shares eventually.
The Final Word
Following Delek Automotive Systems' share price tumble, its P/S is just clinging on to the industry median P/S. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.
Our examination of Delek Automotive Systems revealed its poor three-year revenue trends aren't resulting in a lower P/S as per our expectations, given they look worse than current industry outlook. When we see weak revenue with slower than industry growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, bringing the P/S back in line with expectations. Unless there is a significant improvement in the company's medium-term performance, it will be difficult to prevent the P/S ratio from declining to a more reasonable level.
It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 5 warning signs with Delek Automotive Systems (at least 3 which are a bit unpleasant), and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Delek Automotive Systems might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.