David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. As with many other companies Israel Canada (T.R) Ltd (TLV:ISCN) makes use of debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
View our latest analysis for Israel Canada (T.R)
What Is Israel Canada (T.R)'s Debt?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of December 2020 Israel Canada (T.R) had ₪2.34b of debt, an increase on ₪1.57b, over one year. However, because it has a cash reserve of ₪161.9m, its net debt is less, at about ₪2.18b.
A Look At Israel Canada (T.R)'s Liabilities
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Israel Canada (T.R) had liabilities of ₪1.09b due within 12 months and liabilities of ₪1.84b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had ₪161.9m in cash and ₪166.7m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling ₪2.61b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
This deficit is considerable relative to its market capitalization of ₪2.63b, so it does suggest shareholders should keep an eye on Israel Canada (T.R)'s use of debt. Should its lenders demand that it shore up the balance sheet, shareholders would likely face severe dilution.
In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.
With a net debt to EBITDA ratio of 23.6, it's fair to say Israel Canada (T.R) does have a significant amount of debt. But the good news is that it boasts fairly comforting interest cover of 2.7 times, suggesting it can responsibly service its obligations. The good news is that Israel Canada (T.R) improved its EBIT by 8.6% over the last twelve months, thus gradually reducing its debt levels relative to its earnings. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is Israel Canada (T.R)'s earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Over the last three years, Israel Canada (T.R) saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.
Our View
On the face of it, Israel Canada (T.R)'s net debt to EBITDA left us tentative about the stock, and its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. But at least it's pretty decent at growing its EBIT; that's encouraging. Overall, it seems to us that Israel Canada (T.R)'s balance sheet is really quite a risk to the business. So we're almost as wary of this stock as a hungry kitten is about falling into its owner's fish pond: once bitten, twice shy, as they say. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. To that end, you should learn about the 3 warning signs we've spotted with Israel Canada (T.R) (including 1 which shouldn't be ignored) .
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About TASE:ISCN
Israel Canada (T.R)
Pangaea Real-Estate Ltd. is a principal investment firm specializing in investments in real estate.
Slight with imperfect balance sheet.