David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. As with many other companies Israel Canada (T.R) Ltd (TLV:ISCN) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
When Is Debt A Problem?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
View our latest analysis for Israel Canada (T.R)
How Much Debt Does Israel Canada (T.R) Carry?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at June 2024 Israel Canada (T.R) had debt of ₪5.18b, up from ₪4.72b in one year. However, it does have ₪361.8m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about ₪4.82b.
How Strong Is Israel Canada (T.R)'s Balance Sheet?
The latest balance sheet data shows that Israel Canada (T.R) had liabilities of ₪3.30b due within a year, and liabilities of ₪2.71b falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of ₪361.8m and ₪246.5m worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling ₪5.41b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
When you consider that this deficiency exceeds the company's ₪4.13b market capitalization, you might well be inclined to review the balance sheet intently. In the scenario where the company had to clean up its balance sheet quickly, it seems likely shareholders would suffer extensive dilution.
We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).
Israel Canada (T.R) shareholders face the double whammy of a high net debt to EBITDA ratio (44.6), and fairly weak interest coverage, since EBIT is just 1.7 times the interest expense. The debt burden here is substantial. Even worse, Israel Canada (T.R) saw its EBIT tank 72% over the last 12 months. If earnings continue to follow that trajectory, paying off that debt load will be harder than convincing us to run a marathon in the rain. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Israel Canada (T.R) will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Over the last three years, Israel Canada (T.R) saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.
Our View
To be frank both Israel Canada (T.R)'s conversion of EBIT to free cash flow and its track record of (not) growing its EBIT make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. And furthermore, its interest cover also fails to instill confidence. Considering all the factors previously mentioned, we think that Israel Canada (T.R) really is carrying too much debt. To our minds, that means the stock is rather high risk, and probably one to avoid; but to each their own (investing) style. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Be aware that Israel Canada (T.R) is showing 5 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 2 of those are a bit unpleasant...
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TASE:ISCN
Israel Canada (T.R)
Pangaea Real-Estate Ltd. is a principal investment firm specializing in investments in real estate.
Slight with poor track record.