Stock Analysis
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The 3.2% return this week takes Aura Investments' (TLV:AURA) shareholders five-year gains to 863%
For many, the main point of investing in the stock market is to achieve spectacular returns. And highest quality companies can see their share prices grow by huge amounts. To wit, the Aura Investments Ltd. (TLV:AURA) share price has soared 785% over five years. This just goes to show the value creation that some businesses can achieve. It's also good to see the share price up 40% over the last quarter. But this could be related to the strong market, which is up 24% in the last three months. We love happy stories like this one. The company should be really proud of that performance!
The past week has proven to be lucrative for Aura Investments investors, so let's see if fundamentals drove the company's five-year performance.
Check out our latest analysis for Aura Investments
To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it's a weighing machine. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.
During the last half decade, Aura Investments became profitable. Sometimes, the start of profitability is a major inflection point that can signal fast earnings growth to come, which in turn justifies very strong share price gains. Given that the company made a profit three years ago, but not five years ago, it is worth looking at the share price returns over the last three years, too. Indeed, the Aura Investments share price has gained 210% in three years. During the same period, EPS grew by 46% each year. That makes EPS very close to the 46% share price growth, each year, over the same period. That suggests that the market sentiment around the company hasn't changed much over that time. Rather, the share price has approximately tracked EPS growth.
The image below shows how EPS has tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).
Before buying or selling a stock, we always recommend a close examination of historic growth trends, available here.
What About Dividends?
When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. As it happens, Aura Investments' TSR for the last 5 years was 863%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!
A Different Perspective
It's good to see that Aura Investments has rewarded shareholders with a total shareholder return of 127% in the last twelve months. Of course, that includes the dividend. That's better than the annualised return of 57% over half a decade, implying that the company is doing better recently. In the best case scenario, this may hint at some real business momentum, implying that now could be a great time to delve deeper. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Aura Investments that you should be aware of.
If you would prefer to check out another company -- one with potentially superior financials -- then do not miss this free list of companies that have proven they can grow earnings.
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Israeli exchanges.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TASE:AURA
Aura Investments
Together with its subsidiaries engages in locating, initiating, planning, and building projects in the field of residential real estate in Israel and internationally.