Stock Analysis

Does Adgar Investments and Development (TLV:ADGR) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

TASE:ADGR
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Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We note that Adgar Investments and Development Ltd (TLV:ADGR) does have debt on its balance sheet. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Adgar Investments and Development

What Is Adgar Investments and Development's Net Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of March 2023 Adgar Investments and Development had ₪3.76b of debt, an increase on ₪3.43b, over one year. However, it also had ₪494.2m in cash, and so its net debt is ₪3.27b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
TASE:ADGR Debt to Equity History July 17th 2023

How Strong Is Adgar Investments and Development's Balance Sheet?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Adgar Investments and Development had liabilities of ₪925.2m due within a year, and liabilities of ₪3.34b falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of ₪494.2m and ₪82.1m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by ₪3.69b.

This deficit casts a shadow over the ₪817.0m company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. After all, Adgar Investments and Development would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

Weak interest cover of 0.97 times and a disturbingly high net debt to EBITDA ratio of 15.4 hit our confidence in Adgar Investments and Development like a one-two punch to the gut. This means we'd consider it to have a heavy debt load. Notably, Adgar Investments and Development's EBIT was pretty flat over the last year, which isn't ideal given the debt load. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is Adgar Investments and Development's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Over the most recent three years, Adgar Investments and Development recorded free cash flow worth 53% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.

Our View

On the face of it, Adgar Investments and Development's interest cover left us tentative about the stock, and its level of total liabilities was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. But at least it's pretty decent at converting EBIT to free cash flow; that's encouraging. We're quite clear that we consider Adgar Investments and Development to be really rather risky, as a result of its balance sheet health. So we're almost as wary of this stock as a hungry kitten is about falling into its owner's fish pond: once bitten, twice shy, as they say. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for Adgar Investments and Development you should be aware of, and 1 of them can't be ignored.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Adgar Investments and Development is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.