Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. Importantly, ICL Group Ltd (TLV:ICL) does carry debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
Check out our latest analysis for ICL Group
What Is ICL Group's Debt?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that ICL Group had US$2.77b of debt in September 2022, down from US$3.02b, one year before. On the flip side, it has US$590.0m in cash leading to net debt of about US$2.18b.
A Look At ICL Group's Liabilities
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that ICL Group had liabilities of US$2.63b falling due within a year, and liabilities of US$3.42b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had US$590.0m in cash and US$1.67b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total US$3.79b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since ICL Group has a market capitalization of US$9.84b, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution.
In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.
ICL Group's net debt is only 0.57 times its EBITDA. And its EBIT covers its interest expense a whopping 43.0 times over. So you could argue it is no more threatened by its debt than an elephant is by a mouse. Even more impressive was the fact that ICL Group grew its EBIT by 234% over twelve months. If maintained that growth will make the debt even more manageable in the years ahead. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if ICL Group can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. In the last three years, ICL Group's free cash flow amounted to 38% of its EBIT, less than we'd expect. That's not great, when it comes to paying down debt.
Our View
Happily, ICL Group's impressive interest cover implies it has the upper hand on its debt. But, on a more sombre note, we are a little concerned by its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow. Taking all this data into account, it seems to us that ICL Group takes a pretty sensible approach to debt. That means they are taking on a bit more risk, in the hope of boosting shareholder returns. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. To that end, you should learn about the 2 warning signs we've spotted with ICL Group (including 1 which shouldn't be ignored) .
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TASE:ICL
ICL Group
Operates as a specialty minerals and chemicals company worldwide.
Flawless balance sheet second-rate dividend payer.