Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. As with many other companies Golden House Ltd (TLV:GOHO) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
Check out our latest analysis for Golden House
What Is Golden House's Debt?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Golden House had debt of ₪224.4m at the end of September 2020, a reduction from ₪270.0m over a year. However, it also had ₪47.7m in cash, and so its net debt is ₪176.7m.
How Strong Is Golden House's Balance Sheet?
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Golden House had liabilities of ₪186.1m due within 12 months and liabilities of ₪280.1m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of ₪47.7m as well as receivables valued at ₪4.18m due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by ₪414.3m.
This deficit casts a shadow over the ₪227.8m company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. After all, Golden House would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today.
We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.
Golden House shareholders face the double whammy of a high net debt to EBITDA ratio (8.3), and fairly weak interest coverage, since EBIT is just 1.3 times the interest expense. The debt burden here is substantial. Looking on the bright side, Golden House boosted its EBIT by a silky 31% in the last year. Like the milk of human kindness that sort of growth increases resilience, making the company more capable of managing debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Golden House will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. In the last three years, Golden House created free cash flow amounting to 2.7% of its EBIT, an uninspiring performance. For us, cash conversion that low sparks a little paranoia about is ability to extinguish debt.
Our View
To be frank both Golden House's interest cover and its track record of staying on top of its total liabilities make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. But at least it's pretty decent at growing its EBIT; that's encouraging. We should also note that Healthcare industry companies like Golden House commonly do use debt without problems. Overall, it seems to us that Golden House's balance sheet is really quite a risk to the business. So we're almost as wary of this stock as a hungry kitten is about falling into its owner's fish pond: once bitten, twice shy, as they say. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Be aware that Golden House is showing 5 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 1 of those is concerning...
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About TASE:GOHO
Golden House
Engages in the operation and management of sheltered housing centers for the elderly population in Israel.
Solid track record with excellent balance sheet.