If you're looking at a mature business that's past the growth phase, what are some of the underlying trends that pop up? Typically, we'll see the trend of both return on capital employed (ROCE) declining and this usually coincides with a decreasing amount of capital employed. This indicates the company is producing less profit from its investments and its total assets are decreasing. So after glancing at the trends within Paz Oil (TLV:PZOL), we weren't too hopeful.
Understanding Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)
For those that aren't sure what ROCE is, it measures the amount of pre-tax profits a company can generate from the capital employed in its business. To calculate this metric for Paz Oil, this is the formula:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.0059 = ₪49m ÷ (₪11b - ₪2.5b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2020).
Thus, Paz Oil has an ROCE of 0.6%. In absolute terms, that's a low return and it also under-performs the Oil and Gas industry average of 12%.
See our latest analysis for Paz Oil
While the past is not representative of the future, it can be helpful to know how a company has performed historically, which is why we have this chart above. If you're interested in investigating Paz Oil's past further, check out this free graph of past earnings, revenue and cash flow.
So How Is Paz Oil's ROCE Trending?
There is reason to be cautious about Paz Oil, given the returns are trending downwards. To be more specific, the ROCE was 12% five years ago, but since then it has dropped noticeably. And on the capital employed front, the business is utilizing roughly the same amount of capital as it was back then. Companies that exhibit these attributes tend to not be shrinking, but they can be mature and facing pressure on their margins from competition. So because these trends aren't typically conducive to creating a multi-bagger, we wouldn't hold our breath on Paz Oil becoming one if things continue as they have.
Our Take On Paz Oil's ROCE
All in all, the lower returns from the same amount of capital employed aren't exactly signs of a compounding machine. It should come as no surprise then that the stock has fallen 31% over the last five years, so it looks like investors are recognizing these changes. Unless there is a shift to a more positive trajectory in these metrics, we would look elsewhere.
If you want to know some of the risks facing Paz Oil we've found 3 warning signs (2 are potentially serious!) that you should be aware of before investing here.
If you want to search for solid companies with great earnings, check out this free list of companies with good balance sheets and impressive returns on equity.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About TASE:PAZ
Paz Retail And Energy
Paz Retail And Energy Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, refines, produces, stores, imports, markets, and sells petroleum and other products in Israel and internationally.
Proven track record with mediocre balance sheet.