Stock Analysis

We Think NewMed Energy - Limited Partnership (TLV:NWMD) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

TASE:NWMD
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. As with many other companies NewMed Energy - Limited Partnership (TLV:NWMD) makes use of debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

Check out our latest analysis for NewMed Energy - Limited Partnership

What Is NewMed Energy - Limited Partnership's Net Debt?

The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that NewMed Energy - Limited Partnership had US$1.69b in debt in September 2024; about the same as the year before. However, it also had US$433.1m in cash, and so its net debt is US$1.26b.

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TASE:NWMD Debt to Equity History December 31st 2024

How Strong Is NewMed Energy - Limited Partnership's Balance Sheet?

The latest balance sheet data shows that NewMed Energy - Limited Partnership had liabilities of US$746.6m due within a year, and liabilities of US$1.57b falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of US$433.1m and US$349.7m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by US$1.53b.

While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since NewMed Energy - Limited Partnership has a market capitalization of US$3.46b, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

NewMed Energy - Limited Partnership's net debt to EBITDA ratio of about 1.6 suggests only moderate use of debt. And its strong interest cover of 13.0 times, makes us even more comfortable. The good news is that NewMed Energy - Limited Partnership has increased its EBIT by 3.6% over twelve months, which should ease any concerns about debt repayment. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine NewMed Energy - Limited Partnership's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. Over the most recent three years, NewMed Energy - Limited Partnership recorded free cash flow worth 62% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.

Our View

On our analysis NewMed Energy - Limited Partnership's interest cover should signal that it won't have too much trouble with its debt. However, our other observations weren't so heartening. For instance it seems like it has to struggle a bit to handle its total liabilities. When we consider all the elements mentioned above, it seems to us that NewMed Energy - Limited Partnership is managing its debt quite well. Having said that, the load is sufficiently heavy that we would recommend any shareholders keep a close eye on it. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example, we've discovered 2 warning signs for NewMed Energy - Limited Partnership that you should be aware of before investing here.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.