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Does Navitas Petroleum Limited Partnership (TLV:NVPT) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?
Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. As with many other companies Navitas Petroleum, Limited Partnership (TLV:NVPT) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
View our latest analysis for Navitas Petroleum Limited Partnership
What Is Navitas Petroleum Limited Partnership's Net Debt?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at March 2024 Navitas Petroleum Limited Partnership had debt of US$799.9m, up from US$461.3m in one year. However, because it has a cash reserve of US$231.2m, its net debt is less, at about US$568.7m.
A Look At Navitas Petroleum Limited Partnership's Liabilities
The latest balance sheet data shows that Navitas Petroleum Limited Partnership had liabilities of US$47.9m due within a year, and liabilities of US$838.3m falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of US$231.2m and US$12.1m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by US$642.9m.
Navitas Petroleum Limited Partnership has a market capitalization of US$1.37b, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk.
We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.
Navitas Petroleum Limited Partnership's net debt to EBITDA ratio is 14.8 which suggests rather high debt levels, but its interest cover of 9.7 times suggests the debt is easily serviced. Our best guess is that the company does indeed have significant debt obligations. Shareholders should be aware that Navitas Petroleum Limited Partnership's EBIT was down 48% last year. If that decline continues then paying off debt will be harder than selling foie gras at a vegan convention. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Navitas Petroleum Limited Partnership will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Over the last three years, Navitas Petroleum Limited Partnership saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.
Our View
To be frank both Navitas Petroleum Limited Partnership's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow and its track record of (not) growing its EBIT make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. But on the bright side, its interest cover is a good sign, and makes us more optimistic. Overall, it seems to us that Navitas Petroleum Limited Partnership's balance sheet is really quite a risk to the business. For this reason we're pretty cautious about the stock, and we think shareholders should keep a close eye on its liquidity. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example, we've discovered 5 warning signs for Navitas Petroleum Limited Partnership (2 are concerning!) that you should be aware of before investing here.
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About TASE:NVPT
Navitas Petroleum Limited Partnership
Explores for, develops, and produces oil and natural gas in North and South America.
Imperfect balance sheet minimal.