Stock Analysis

Here's Why Electra Power (2019) (TLV:ELCP) Is Weighed Down By Its Debt Load

TASE:ELCP
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Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. Importantly, Electra Power (2019) Ltd (TLV:ELCP) does carry debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Electra Power (2019)

How Much Debt Does Electra Power (2019) Carry?

As you can see below, Electra Power (2019) had ₪722.8m of debt, at June 2024, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. On the flip side, it has ₪48.5m in cash leading to net debt of about ₪674.3m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
TASE:ELCP Debt to Equity History October 22nd 2024

How Healthy Is Electra Power (2019)'s Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Electra Power (2019) had liabilities of ₪417.0m due within 12 months and liabilities of ₪648.2m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of ₪48.5m as well as receivables valued at ₪292.1m due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by ₪724.7m.

This deficit casts a shadow over the ₪374.8m company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. After all, Electra Power (2019) would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

Electra Power (2019) shareholders face the double whammy of a high net debt to EBITDA ratio (9.9), and fairly weak interest coverage, since EBIT is just 0.71 times the interest expense. The debt burden here is substantial. Worse, Electra Power (2019)'s EBIT was down 64% over the last year. If earnings keep going like that over the long term, it has a snowball's chance in hell of paying off that debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Electra Power (2019) will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Over the last three years, Electra Power (2019) saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.

Our View

To be frank both Electra Power (2019)'s EBIT growth rate and its track record of staying on top of its total liabilities make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. And furthermore, its interest cover also fails to instill confidence. It looks to us like Electra Power (2019) carries a significant balance sheet burden. If you harvest honey without a bee suit, you risk getting stung, so we'd probably stay away from this particular stock. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 5 warning signs for Electra Power (2019) (of which 3 are concerning!) you should know about.

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Electra Power (2019) might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.