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Lacklustre Performance Is Driving Cofix Group Ltd's (TLV:CFX) 26% Price Drop
The Cofix Group Ltd (TLV:CFX) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a substantial 26%. The recent drop completes a disastrous twelve months for shareholders, who are sitting on a 57% loss during that time.
Since its price has dipped substantially, it would be understandable if you think Cofix Group is a stock with good investment prospects with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 0.2x, considering almost half the companies in Israel's Hospitality industry have P/S ratios above 0.9x. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.
Check out our latest analysis for Cofix Group
What Does Cofix Group's P/S Mean For Shareholders?
It looks like revenue growth has deserted Cofix Group recently, which is not something to boast about. One possibility is that the P/S is low because investors think this benign revenue growth rate will likely underperform the broader industry in the near future. If not, then existing shareholders may be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Cofix Group's earnings, revenue and cash flow.How Is Cofix Group's Revenue Growth Trending?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Cofix Group would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the industry.
Taking a look back first, we see that there was hardly any revenue growth to speak of for the company over the past year. Fortunately, a few good years before that means that it was still able to grow revenue by 12% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say that revenue growth has been inconsistent recently for the company.
This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 28% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.
With this in consideration, it's easy to understand why Cofix Group's P/S falls short of the mark set by its industry peers. It seems most investors are expecting to see the recent limited growth rates continue into the future and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.
What Does Cofix Group's P/S Mean For Investors?
Cofix Group's recently weak share price has pulled its P/S back below other Hospitality companies. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.
As we suspected, our examination of Cofix Group revealed its three-year revenue trends are contributing to its low P/S, given they look worse than current industry expectations. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.
We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 2 warning signs for Cofix Group (1 is concerning!) that you need to be mindful of.
If you're unsure about the strength of Cofix Group's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TASE:CFX
Cofix Group
Operates and franchises coffee shops and supermarkets in Israel and internationally.
Mediocre balance sheet and slightly overvalued.