The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. Importantly, Willy-Food Investments Ltd (TLV:WLFD) does carry debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
When Is Debt A Problem?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
Our analysis indicates that WLFD is potentially overvalued!
How Much Debt Does Willy-Food Investments Carry?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of June 2022 Willy-Food Investments had ₪50.0m of debt, an increase on none, over one year. However, it does have ₪318.5m in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of ₪268.5m.
A Look At Willy-Food Investments' Liabilities
According to the last reported balance sheet, Willy-Food Investments had liabilities of ₪38.4m due within 12 months, and liabilities of ₪56.7m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had ₪318.5m in cash and ₪156.0m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it actually has ₪379.3m more liquid assets than total liabilities.
This surplus strongly suggests that Willy-Food Investments has a rock-solid balance sheet (and the debt is of no concern whatsoever). With this in mind one could posit that its balance sheet means the company is able to handle some adversity. Simply put, the fact that Willy-Food Investments has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely.
But the bad news is that Willy-Food Investments has seen its EBIT plunge 13% in the last twelve months. If that rate of decline in earnings continues, the company could find itself in a tight spot. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is Willy-Food Investments's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. While Willy-Food Investments has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Over the most recent three years, Willy-Food Investments recorded free cash flow worth 58% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.
Summing Up
While it is always sensible to investigate a company's debt, in this case Willy-Food Investments has ₪268.5m in net cash and a decent-looking balance sheet. So is Willy-Food Investments's debt a risk? It doesn't seem so to us. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example Willy-Food Investments has 3 warning signs (and 1 which makes us a bit uncomfortable) we think you should know about.
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Willy-Food Investments might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TASE:WLFD
Willy-Food Investments
Imports, exports, markets, and sells food products in Israel.
Flawless balance sheet and good value.