Did you know there are some financial metrics that can provide clues of a potential multi-bagger? Firstly, we'll want to see a proven return on capital employed (ROCE) that is increasing, and secondly, an expanding base of capital employed. If you see this, it typically means it's a company with a great business model and plenty of profitable reinvestment opportunities. Although, when we looked at Shufersal (TLV:SAE), it didn't seem to tick all of these boxes.
Return On Capital Employed (ROCE): What is it?
For those who don't know, ROCE is a measure of a company's yearly pre-tax profit (its return), relative to the capital employed in the business. To calculate this metric for Shufersal, this is the formula:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.071 = ₪722m ÷ (₪14b - ₪4.1b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2021).
Therefore, Shufersal has an ROCE of 7.1%. In absolute terms, that's a low return and it also under-performs the Consumer Retailing industry average of 14%.
View our latest analysis for Shufersal
While the past is not representative of the future, it can be helpful to know how a company has performed historically, which is why we have this chart above. If you want to delve into the historical earnings, revenue and cash flow of Shufersal, check out these free graphs here.
So How Is Shufersal's ROCE Trending?
When we looked at the ROCE trend at Shufersal, we didn't gain much confidence. Over the last five years, returns on capital have decreased to 7.1% from 11% five years ago. However it looks like Shufersal might be reinvesting for long term growth because while capital employed has increased, the company's sales haven't changed much in the last 12 months. It may take some time before the company starts to see any change in earnings from these investments.
On a side note, Shufersal has done well to pay down its current liabilities to 29% of total assets. So we could link some of this to the decrease in ROCE. Effectively this means their suppliers or short-term creditors are funding less of the business, which reduces some elements of risk. Some would claim this reduces the business' efficiency at generating ROCE since it is now funding more of the operations with its own money.
The Bottom Line
Bringing it all together, while we're somewhat encouraged by Shufersal's reinvestment in its own business, we're aware that returns are shrinking. Since the stock has gained an impressive 49% over the last five years, investors must think there's better things to come. However, unless these underlying trends turn more positive, we wouldn't get our hopes up too high.
One more thing to note, we've identified 3 warning signs with Shufersal and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
While Shufersal may not currently earn the highest returns, we've compiled a list of companies that currently earn more than 25% return on equity. Check out this free list here.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TASE:SAE
Shufersal
Operates a chain of supermarkets under the Shufersal brand name in Israel.
Proven track record with adequate balance sheet.