The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, Shikun & Binui Ltd. (TLV:SKBN) does carry debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
View our latest analysis for Shikun & Binui
What Is Shikun & Binui's Net Debt?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at March 2021 Shikun & Binui had debt of ₪8.98b, up from ₪8.38b in one year. However, because it has a cash reserve of ₪2.17b, its net debt is less, at about ₪6.81b.
How Strong Is Shikun & Binui's Balance Sheet?
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Shikun & Binui had liabilities of ₪5.39b due within 12 months and liabilities of ₪7.64b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had ₪2.17b in cash and ₪3.30b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total ₪7.56b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
This is a mountain of leverage relative to its market capitalization of ₪8.59b. This suggests shareholders would be heavily diluted if the company needed to shore up its balance sheet in a hurry.
We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).
Weak interest cover of 0.51 times and a disturbingly high net debt to EBITDA ratio of 9.4 hit our confidence in Shikun & Binui like a one-two punch to the gut. This means we'd consider it to have a heavy debt load. On a lighter note, we note that Shikun & Binui grew its EBIT by 21% in the last year. If sustained, this growth should make that debt evaporate like a scarce drinking water during an unnaturally hot summer. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Shikun & Binui will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. Over the last three years, Shikun & Binui recorded negative free cash flow, in total. Debt is usually more expensive, and almost always more risky in the hands of a company with negative free cash flow. Shareholders ought to hope for an improvement.
Our View
On the face of it, Shikun & Binui's net debt to EBITDA left us tentative about the stock, and its interest cover was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. But on the bright side, its EBIT growth rate is a good sign, and makes us more optimistic. We're quite clear that we consider Shikun & Binui to be really rather risky, as a result of its balance sheet health. For this reason we're pretty cautious about the stock, and we think shareholders should keep a close eye on its liquidity. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Case in point: We've spotted 3 warning signs for Shikun & Binui you should be aware of, and 2 of them are a bit concerning.
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
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About TASE:SKBN
Shikun & Binui
Operates as an infrastructure and real estate company in Israel and internationally.
Slight with mediocre balance sheet.