Stock Analysis

If EPS Growth Is Important To You, Smurfit Kappa Group (ISE:SK3) Presents An Opportunity

ISE:SK3
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It's common for many investors, especially those who are inexperienced, to buy shares in companies with a good story even if these companies are loss-making. Unfortunately, these high risk investments often have little probability of ever paying off, and many investors pay a price to learn their lesson. While a well funded company may sustain losses for years, it will need to generate a profit eventually, or else investors will move on and the company will wither away.

In contrast to all that, many investors prefer to focus on companies like Smurfit Kappa Group (ISE:SK3), which has not only revenues, but also profits. Now this is not to say that the company presents the best investment opportunity around, but profitability is a key component to success in business.

Our analysis indicates that SK3 is potentially undervalued!

How Quickly Is Smurfit Kappa Group Increasing Earnings Per Share?

If you believe that markets are even vaguely efficient, then over the long term you'd expect a company's share price to follow its earnings per share (EPS) outcomes. Therefore, there are plenty of investors who like to buy shares in companies that are growing EPS. Recognition must be given to the that Smurfit Kappa Group has grown EPS by 59% per year, over the last three years. That sort of growth rarely ever lasts long, but it is well worth paying attention to when it happens.

Top-line growth is a great indicator that growth is sustainable, and combined with a high earnings before interest and taxation (EBIT) margin, it's a great way for a company to maintain a competitive advantage in the market. EBIT margins for Smurfit Kappa Group remained fairly unchanged over the last year, however the company should be pleased to report its revenue growth for the period of 31% to €12b. That's progress.

In the chart below, you can see how the company has grown earnings and revenue, over time. For finer detail, click on the image.

earnings-and-revenue-history
ISE:SK3 Earnings and Revenue History December 2nd 2022

While we live in the present moment, there's little doubt that the future matters most in the investment decision process. So why not check this interactive chart depicting future EPS estimates, for Smurfit Kappa Group?

Are Smurfit Kappa Group Insiders Aligned With All Shareholders?

It's said that there's no smoke without fire. For investors, insider buying is often the smoke that indicates which stocks could set the market alight. Because often, the purchase of stock is a sign that the buyer views it as undervalued. However, insiders are sometimes wrong, and we don't know the exact thinking behind their acquisitions.

Any way you look at it Smurfit Kappa Group shareholders can gain quiet confidence from the fact that insiders shelled out €300k to buy stock, over the last year. And when you consider that there was no insider selling, you can understand why shareholders might believe that there are brighter days ahead. It is also worth noting that it was Independent Non-Executive Chairman Irial Finan who made the biggest single purchase, worth €180k, paying €35.90 per share.

On top of the insider buying, it's good to see that Smurfit Kappa Group insiders have a valuable investment in the business. Given insiders own a significant chunk of shares, currently valued at €61m, they have plenty of motivation to push the business to succeed. This would indicate that the goals of shareholders and management are one and the same.

Does Smurfit Kappa Group Deserve A Spot On Your Watchlist?

Smurfit Kappa Group's earnings have taken off in quite an impressive fashion. To make matters even better, the company insiders who know the company best have put their faith in the its future and have been buying more stock. These factors seem to indicate the company's potential and that it has reached an inflection point. We'd suggest Smurfit Kappa Group belongs near the top of your watchlist. It is worth noting though that we have found 3 warning signs for Smurfit Kappa Group (1 makes us a bit uncomfortable!) that you need to take into consideration.

The good news is that Smurfit Kappa Group is not the only growth stock with insider buying. Here's a list of them... with insider buying in the last three months!

Please note the insider transactions discussed in this article refer to reportable transactions in the relevant jurisdiction.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.