Stock Analysis

Analysts Are Updating Their Uniphar plc (ISE:UPR) Estimates After Its Half-Year Results

ISE:UPR
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Uniphar plc (ISE:UPR) came out with its half-year results last week, and we wanted to see how the business is performing and what industry forecasters think of the company following this report. Overall the results were a little better than the analysts were expecting, with revenues beating forecasts by 6.0%to hit €1.4b. This is an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance in its report, look at what experts are forecasting for next year, and see if there has been any change to expectations for the business. So we gathered the latest post-earnings forecasts to see what estimates suggest is in store for next year.

Check out our latest analysis for Uniphar

earnings-and-revenue-growth
ISE:UPR Earnings and Revenue Growth September 6th 2024

Following last week's earnings report, Uniphar's seven analysts are forecasting 2024 revenues to be €2.69b, approximately in line with the last 12 months. In the lead-up to this report, the analysts had been modelling revenues of €2.68b and earnings per share (EPS) of €0.19 in 2024. So we can see that while the consensus made no real change to its revenue estimates, it also no longer provides an earnings per share estimate. This suggests that revenues are what the market is focusing on after the latest results.

There's been no real change to the consensus price target of €4.52, with Uniphar seemingly executing in line with expectations. There's another way to think about price targets though, and that's to look at the range of price targets put forward by analysts, because a wide range of estimates could suggest a diverse view on possible outcomes for the business. The most optimistic Uniphar analyst has a price target of €5.00 per share, while the most pessimistic values it at €4.00. This is a very narrow spread of estimates, implying either that Uniphar is an easy company to value, or - more likely - the analysts are relying heavily on some key assumptions.

Taking a look at the bigger picture now, one of the ways we can understand these forecasts is to see how they compare to both past performance and industry growth estimates. We would highlight that Uniphar's revenue growth is expected to slow, with the forecast 0.6% annualised growth rate until the end of 2024 being well below the historical 10% p.a. growth over the last five years. Compare this against other companies (with analyst forecasts) in the industry, which are in aggregate expected to see revenue growth of 5.2% annually. So it's pretty clear that, while revenue growth is expected to slow down, the wider industry is also expected to grow faster than Uniphar.

The Bottom Line

The clear take away from these updates is that the analysts made no change to their revenue estimates for next year, with the business apparently performing in line with their models. On the plus side, there were no major changes to revenue estimates; although forecasts imply they will perform worse than the wider industry. There was no real change to the consensus price target, suggesting that the intrinsic value of the business has not undergone any major changes with the latest estimates.

We have estimates for Uniphar from its seven analysts out to 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here.

Before you take the next step you should know about the 1 warning sign for Uniphar that we have uncovered.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.