Stock Analysis

Is Kerry Group (ISE:KRZ) Using Too Much Debt?

ISE:KRZ
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The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that Kerry Group plc (ISE:KRZ) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

Check out our latest analysis for Kerry Group

What Is Kerry Group's Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Kerry Group had debt of €2.44b at the end of June 2023, a reduction from €3.18b over a year. However, it does have €660.8m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about €1.78b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
ISE:KRZ Debt to Equity History August 20th 2023

How Strong Is Kerry Group's Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Kerry Group had liabilities of €1.98b due within 12 months and liabilities of €3.13b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of €660.8m and €1.33b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total €3.12b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

This deficit isn't so bad because Kerry Group is worth a massive €14.9b, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

Kerry Group's net debt to EBITDA ratio of about 1.5 suggests only moderate use of debt. And its commanding EBIT of 14.8 times its interest expense, implies the debt load is as light as a peacock feather. The good news is that Kerry Group has increased its EBIT by 9.6% over twelve months, which should ease any concerns about debt repayment. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Kerry Group can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. During the last three years, Kerry Group produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 58% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.

Our View

Happily, Kerry Group's impressive interest cover implies it has the upper hand on its debt. And its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow is good too. Looking at all the aforementioned factors together, it strikes us that Kerry Group can handle its debt fairly comfortably. Of course, while this leverage can enhance returns on equity, it does bring more risk, so it's worth keeping an eye on this one. Over time, share prices tend to follow earnings per share, so if you're interested in Kerry Group, you may well want to click here to check an interactive graph of its earnings per share history.

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Kerry Group might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About ISE:KRZ

Kerry Group

Provides taste and nutrition solutions.

Flawless balance sheet average dividend payer.

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