Stock Analysis

MOL Magyar Olaj- és Gázipari Nyilvánosan Muködo Részvénytársaság (BUSE:MOL) Has A Pretty Healthy Balance Sheet

BUSE:MOL
Source: Shutterstock

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. As with many other companies MOL Magyar Olaj- és Gázipari Nyilvánosan Muködo Részvénytársaság (BUSE:MOL) makes use of debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for MOL Magyar Olaj- és Gázipari Nyilvánosan Muködo Részvénytársaság

What Is MOL Magyar Olaj- és Gázipari Nyilvánosan Muködo Részvénytársaság's Net Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that MOL Magyar Olaj- és Gázipari Nyilvánosan Muködo Részvénytársaság had debt of Ft1.08t at the end of September 2021, a reduction from Ft1.23t over a year. On the flip side, it has Ft396.1b in cash leading to net debt of about Ft681.6b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
BUSE:MOL Debt to Equity History December 11th 2021

How Strong Is MOL Magyar Olaj- és Gázipari Nyilvánosan Muködo Részvénytársaság's Balance Sheet?

The latest balance sheet data shows that MOL Magyar Olaj- és Gázipari Nyilvánosan Muködo Részvénytársaság had liabilities of Ft1.66t due within a year, and liabilities of Ft1.59t falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had Ft396.1b in cash and Ft781.2b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling Ft2.08t more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

Given this deficit is actually higher than the company's market capitalization of Ft1.53t, we think shareholders really should watch MOL Magyar Olaj- és Gázipari Nyilvánosan Muködo Részvénytársaság's debt levels, like a parent watching their child ride a bike for the first time. In the scenario where the company had to clean up its balance sheet quickly, it seems likely shareholders would suffer extensive dilution.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

MOL Magyar Olaj- és Gázipari Nyilvánosan Muködo Részvénytársaság has a low debt to EBITDA ratio of only 0.79. And remarkably, despite having net debt, it actually received more in interest over the last twelve months than it had to pay. So there's no doubt this company can take on debt while staying cool as a cucumber. Even more impressive was the fact that MOL Magyar Olaj- és Gázipari Nyilvánosan Muködo Részvénytársaság grew its EBIT by 238% over twelve months. If maintained that growth will make the debt even more manageable in the years ahead. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if MOL Magyar Olaj- és Gázipari Nyilvánosan Muködo Részvénytársaság can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. During the last three years, MOL Magyar Olaj- és Gázipari Nyilvánosan Muködo Részvénytársaság produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 64% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.

Our View

MOL Magyar Olaj- és Gázipari Nyilvánosan Muködo Részvénytársaság's interest cover was a real positive on this analysis, as was its EBIT growth rate. In contrast, our confidence was undermined by its apparent struggle to handle its total liabilities. Considering this range of data points, we think MOL Magyar Olaj- és Gázipari Nyilvánosan Muködo Részvénytársaság is in a good position to manage its debt levels. Having said that, the load is sufficiently heavy that we would recommend any shareholders keep a close eye on it. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for MOL Magyar Olaj- és Gázipari Nyilvánosan Muködo Részvénytársaság (of which 1 can't be ignored!) you should know about.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

New: Manage All Your Stock Portfolios in One Place

We've created the ultimate portfolio companion for stock investors, and it's free.

• Connect an unlimited number of Portfolios and see your total in one currency
• Be alerted to new Warning Signs or Risks via email or mobile
• Track the Fair Value of your stocks

Try a Demo Portfolio for Free

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.