Stock Analysis

Losinjska Plovidba Holding d.d.'s (ZGSE:LPLH) Shares May Have Run Too Fast Too Soon

ZGSE:LPLH
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There wouldn't be many who think Losinjska Plovidba Holding d.d.'s (ZGSE:LPLH) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 17.4x is worth a mention when the median P/E in Croatia is similar at about 16x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/E without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.

With earnings growth that's exceedingly strong of late, Losinjska Plovidba Holding d.d has been doing very well. The P/E is probably moderate because investors think this strong earnings growth might not be enough to outperform the broader market in the near future. If that doesn't eventuate, then existing shareholders have reason to be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

View our latest analysis for Losinjska Plovidba Holding d.d

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ZGSE:LPLH Price Based on Past Earnings May 19th 2022
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Losinjska Plovidba Holding d.d, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Does Growth Match The P/E?

The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/E like Losinjska Plovidba Holding d.d's is when the company's growth is tracking the market closely.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 165% last year. However, the latest three year period hasn't been as great in aggregate as it didn't manage to provide any growth at all. So it appears to us that the company has had a mixed result in terms of growing earnings over that time.

This is in contrast to the rest of the market, which is expected to grow by 6.5% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

In light of this, it's curious that Losinjska Plovidba Holding d.d's P/E sits in line with the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited recent growth rates and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. They may be setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.

What We Can Learn From Losinjska Plovidba Holding d.d's P/E?

While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.

We've established that Losinjska Plovidba Holding d.d currently trades on a higher than expected P/E since its recent three-year growth is lower than the wider market forecast. When we see weak earnings with slower than market growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the moderate P/E lower. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, it's challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.

Plus, you should also learn about this 1 warning sign we've spotted with Losinjska Plovidba Holding d.d.

If you're unsure about the strength of Losinjska Plovidba Holding d.d's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.